James Madison Dukes vs George Mason Patriots prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
James Madison at George Mason: Bandwagon's model makes George Mason a 60% favorite (George Mason −5.5).
James Madison Dukes vs George Mason Patriots odds and win probability
Axle gives George Mason a 60% chance to win, by about 5 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has George Mason
All WCBB ratings| JMU | GMU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1646 44th of 357 | 1654 42nd of 357 |
| Record | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | GMU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 6:48 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 6:03 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:53 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:43 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:48 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET | 60% | −3 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 63% | — |
James Madison Dukes vs George Mason Patriots prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Patriots a 5.5-point favorite at home, with a 60% chance to win. The model total is 129. Ratings: Patriots 1654 (42nd of 357), Dukes 1646 (44th). The Patriots are 2-1; the Dukes are 1-2. The Patriots have won 2 of their last 5; the Dukes 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Patriots won 1, the Dukes 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
James Madison Dukes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Virginia Tech Hokies | L 43–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils | W 77–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami (OH) RedHawks | L 52–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kentucky Wildcats | L 56–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Troy Trojans | W 69–52 | – | – | matchup |
George Mason Patriots
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Maryland Terrapins | L 62–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Akron Zips | W 66–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Temple Owls | W 91–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Quinnipiac Bobcats | L 64–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rhode Island Rams | L 51–53 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Mason Patriots at James Madison Dukes | 72–57 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
James Madison Dukes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
George Mason Patriots: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Dukes1-2 10th · L1
- Dukes rating1646 44th of 357, 3 games
- Patriots2-1 5th · L1
- Patriots rating1654 42nd of 357, 3 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $JMUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the James Madison Dukes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $GMUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the George Mason Patriots bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on James Madison Dukes at George Mason Patriots
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: George Mason 60% to win. Projected score George Mason 67, James Madison 62; spread George Mason −5.5, total 129. James Madison Dukes at George Mason Patriots, Sat, Nov 21, 12:00 PM ET.