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Axle 2.078% straight up465 games
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Ocean Bank Convocation Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Jacksonville Dolphins vs Florida International Panthers: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Jacksonville Dolphins or Florida International Panthers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 46–54Market –

FinalPregame: FIU 54%Baseline: FIU 31.7% (−22.7)Big swing: 18.0 ptsClutch window: none
75+1164+14
Score by period
Team1234T
JAX2416241175
FIU2116131464
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Jacksonville Dolphins at Florida International Panthers win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: Q4Fetched at
Win probability for FIU: 86 points, 54% at the start, 0% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00FIU 0%JAX 100%
Win probability for FIU: 86 points, 54% at the start, 0% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00FIU 0%JAX 100%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumStable−0.3 points for FIU over the last 5:00
Big swing18.0 ptstoward JAX at 21:08 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineFIU 31.7%game average, −22.7 points from the pregame 54.4%

Jacksonville Dolphins vs Florida International Panthers live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatJAXFIU
Field goalsJAX23/59FIU22/48
3-pointersJAX4/16FIU6/14
Free throwsJAX25/32FIU14/26
ReboundsJAX40FIU31
AssistsJAX5FIU14
TurnoversJAX25FIU27
StealsJAX14FIU12
BlocksJAX1FIU1
Points in the paintJAX36FIU32
Fast-break pointsJAX4FIU16
FoulsJAX25FIU29
Largest leadJAX18FIU6

Jacksonville Dolphins vs Florida International Panthers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatJAXFIU
ScoreJAX75FIU64
Average win probabilityJAX68%FIU32%
Longest scoring runJAX+12FIU+4
Time leadingJAX24:30FIU10:03

Jacksonville Dolphins vs Florida International Panthers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 21 h ago
Dolphins46%
Win chance
Panthers54%
SpreadFIU −4closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+119away / −119homeaway / home
Line movementFIU win chance, 26 stored lines
−9 pts for FIU between Oct 29 and Nov 3
69%47%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: FIU 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: FIU 52%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: FIU 52%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: FIU 52%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: FIU 54%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: FIU 54%Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: FIU 54%Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: FIU 54%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: FIU 54%
Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3
Every stored line
StoredFIU winMove
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET54%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET54%0
Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET54%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET54%0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET54%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET54%+2
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET52%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET52%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET52%−11
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
FIU 1521 · JAX 1566
Home spread
−4
Stored
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET · 2026-11-04 02:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Jacksonville Dolphins 75, Florida International Panthers 64. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

DolphinsPanthers
Neutrals only–
DolphinsPanthers
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Panthers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Jacksonville Dolphins vs Florida International Panthers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Panthers a 4-point favorite at home, with a 54% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Panthers 1500 (170th of 356), Dolphins 1587 (84th). The Panthers are 0-1; the Dolphins are 1-0. The Panthers have won 2 of their last 5; the Dolphins 4 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Panthers won 1, the Dolphins 3.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Jacksonville Dolphins

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Florida International PanthersW 75–64––matchup
at LSU TigersL 58–116––matchup
vs Austin Peay GovernorsW 66–63––matchup
vs Central Arkansas Sugar BearsW 67–58––matchup
vs West Georgia WolvesW 86–77––matchup

Florida International Panthers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Jacksonville DolphinsL 64–75––matchup
at Abilene Christian WildcatsL 66–77––matchup
vs Stetson HattersW 76–73––matchup
vs Missouri State Lady BearsL 69–74––matchup
vs Jacksonville State GamecocksW 76–66––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Florida International Panthers at Jacksonville Dolphins69–80––matchup
Jacksonville Dolphins at Florida International Panthers72–54––matchup
Jacksonville Dolphins at Florida International Panthers81–88––matchup
Florida International Panthers at Jacksonville Dolphins71–82––matchup

Injuries

Jacksonville Dolphins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Florida International Panthers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Dolphins1-0 1st · W1
  • Dolphins rating1587 84th of 356, 1 games
  • Panthers0-1 7th · L1
  • Panthers rating1500 170th of 356, 1 games

Jacksonville Dolphins 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $JAXWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $JAXWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $JAXWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $JAXWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Jacksonville Dolphins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Dolphins roster, schedule and more

Florida International Panthers 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $FIUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $FIUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $FIUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $FIUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Florida International Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Panthers roster, schedule and more

Takes on Jacksonville Dolphins at Florida International Panthers

Sign in to post a take on $JAXWBBFIUWBB261104: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

Final: Jacksonville 75, Florida International 64. Bandwagon's model had the Florida International at 54% and projected Florida International 67, Jacksonville 63; spread Florida International −4, total 130.5.