Incarnate Word Cardinals lead Tulsa Golden Hurricane 7-0 with 6:59 left in the 1st. The model still has Tulsa at 80%, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Reynolds Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreIncarnate Word 63, Tulsa 57 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerTulsa 80%
- Pregame Projected scoreTulsa 71, Incarnate Word 59
- Model spreadTulsa −12 total 130.5
- Margin6 projected 12
- Total120 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Incarnate Word Cardinals or Tulsa Golden Hurricane: the bandwagon
Axle 20–80Market –
FinalPregame: TLSA 80%Baseline: TLSA 72.1% (−7.4)Big swing: 47.7 ptsClutch window: 8:34
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UIW | 19 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 63 |
| TLSA | 16 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 57 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Incarnate Word Cardinals at Tulsa Golden Hurricane win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to UIW−87.8 points for TLSA over the last 5:00
Big swing47.7 ptstoward TLSA at 37:42 of game time
Clutch window8:34within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineTLSA 72.1%game average, −7.4 points from the pregame 79.5%
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | UIW | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | UIW21/47 | TLSA24/56 |
| 3-pointers | UIW2/14 | TLSA3/20 |
| Free throws | UIW19/34 | TLSA6/8 |
| Rebounds | UIW33 | TLSA32 |
| Assists | UIW4 | TLSA10 |
| Turnovers | UIW16 | TLSA17 |
| Steals | UIW5 | TLSA9 |
| Blocks | UIW4 | TLSA4 |
| Points in the paint | UIW34 | TLSA42 |
| Fast-break points | UIW3 | TLSA8 |
| Fouls | UIW12 | TLSA28 |
| Largest lead | UIW7 | TLSA6 |
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | UIW | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UIW63 | TLSA57 |
| Average win probability | UIW28% | TLSA72% |
| Longest scoring run | UIW+8 | TLSA+4 |
| Time leading | UIW16:19 | TLSA17:14 |
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 22 h ago
Cardinals20%
Win chanceGolden Hurricane80%
SpreadTLSA −12closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+390away / −390homeaway / home
Line movementTLSA win chance, 38 stored lines
+17 pts for TLSA between Oct 29 and Nov 3
89%58%
Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | TLSA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 80% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 79% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 83% | +20 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- TLSA 1527 · UIW 1409
- Home spread
- −12
- Stored
- Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET · 2026-11-04 02:28 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Incarnate Word Cardinals 63, Tulsa Golden Hurricane 57. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
CardinalsGolden Hurricane
Neutrals only–
CardinalsGolden Hurricane
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Golden Hurricane–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Golden Hurricane a 12-point favorite at home, with a 80% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Golden Hurricane 1507 (164th of 356), Cardinals 1428 (247th). The Golden Hurricane are 0-1; the Cardinals are 1-0. The Golden Hurricane have won 1 of their last 5; the Cardinals 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Incarnate Word Cardinals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Tulsa Golden Hurricane | W 63–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nicholls Colonels | L 55–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | L 64–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Lamar Cardinals | L 69–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | L 71–93 | – | – | matchup |
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Incarnate Word Cardinals | L 57–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Texas Mean Green | L 73–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs East Carolina Pirates | L 61–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UTSA Roadrunners | W 53–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rice Owls | L 65–105 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Incarnate Word Cardinals: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Tulsa Golden Hurricane: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Cardinals1-0 2nd · W1
- Cardinals rating1428 247th of 356, 1 games
- Golden Hurricane0-1 10th · L1
- Golden Hurricane rating1507 164th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
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No stances yet today on $UIWWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Incarnate Word Cardinals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TLSAWBB
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TLSAWBB
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