Idaho State Bengals vs UC Riverside Highlanders prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
Idaho State at UC Riverside: Bandwagon's model makes Idaho State a 61% favorite (Idaho State −0.5).
Idaho State Bengals vs UC Riverside Highlanders odds and win probability
Axle gives Idaho State a 61% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Idaho State
All WCBB ratings| IDST | UCR | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1514 156th of 357 | 1391 277th of 357 |
| Record | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UCR win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 39% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 8:38 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:18 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 6:48 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 40% | +1 |
| Nov 9, 11:13 PM ET | 39% | −2 |
| Nov 9, 10:58 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 6:03 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 41% | — |
Idaho State Bengals vs UC Riverside Highlanders prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bengals a 0.5-point favorite, with a 61% chance to win. The model total is 129.5. Ratings: Highlanders 1391 (277th of 357), Bengals 1514 (156th). The Highlanders are 1-2; the Bengals are 2-1. The Highlanders have won 1 of their last 5; the Bengals 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Idaho State Bengals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Cal Poly Mustangs | W 64–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| at BYU Cougars | L 50–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sacramento State Hornets | L 53–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sacramento State Hornets | L 72–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Weber State Wildcats | W 59–54 | – | – | matchup |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Gonzaga Bulldogs | L 58–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Seattle U Redhawks | L 55–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UC Davis Aggies | L 59–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | W 58–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | L 56–89 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Idaho State Bengals: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UC Riverside Highlanders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bengals2-1 4th · W2
- Bengals rating1514 156th of 357, 2 games
- Highlanders1-2 11th · L2
- Highlanders rating1391 277th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $IDSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Idaho State Bengals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 11th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $UCRWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UC Riverside Highlanders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Idaho State Bengals at UC Riverside Highlanders
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Idaho State 61% to win. Projected score Idaho State 64.9, UC Riverside 64.6; spread Idaho State −0.5, total 129.5. Idaho State Bengals at UC Riverside Highlanders, Sun, Nov 22, 5:00 PM ET.