Idaho State Bengals vs South Dakota Coyotes prediction, odds and picks, November 15, 2026
- Projected winnerSouth Dakota 70%
- Projected scoreSouth Dakota 69, Idaho State 61
- Model spreadSouth Dakota −8.5 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Idaho State Bengals or South Dakota Coyotes: the bandwagon
Axle 30–70Market –
Idaho State Bengals at South Dakota Coyotes win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Idaho State Bengals vs South Dakota Coyotes live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Idaho State Bengals vs South Dakota Coyotes team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | IDST | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Score | IDST– | SDAK– |
| Average win probability | IDST– | SDAK– |
| Longest scoring run | IDST– | SDAK– |
| Time leading | IDST– | SDAK– |
Idaho State Bengals vs South Dakota Coyotes odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SDAK win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET | 70% | +2 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | — |
- Ratings
- SDAK 1551 · IDST 1507
- Home spread
- −8.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Idaho State Bengals vs South Dakota Coyotes prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Coyotes a 8.5-point favorite at home, with a 70% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Coyotes 1551 (122nd of 356), Bengals 1507 (162nd). The Coyotes are 1-0; the Bengals are 0-1. The Coyotes have won 3 of their last 5; the Bengals 1 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Coyotes won 2, the Bengals 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Idaho State Bengals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at BYU Cougars | L 50–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sacramento State Hornets | L 53–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sacramento State Hornets | L 72–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Weber State Wildcats | W 59–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Montana State Bobcats | L 61–67 | – | – | matchup |
South Dakota Coyotes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Illinois State Redbirds | L 60–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Montana State Bobcats | W 65–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Pepperdine Waves | W 73–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Colorado Bears | W 80–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Dakota State Jackrabbits | L 59–74 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Dakota Coyotes at Idaho State Bengals | 64–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| Idaho State Bengals at South Dakota Coyotes | 47–73 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Idaho State Bengals: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
South Dakota Coyotes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bengals0-1 9th · L1
- Bengals rating1507 162nd of 356, 1 games
- Coyotes1-0 2nd · W1
- Coyotes rating1551 122nd of 356, 0 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $IDSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Idaho State Bengals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $SDAKWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Dakota Coyotes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: South Dakota 70% to win. Projected score South Dakota 69, Idaho State 61; spread South Dakota −8.5, total 130.5. Idaho State Bengals at South Dakota Coyotes, Sun, Nov 15, 3:00 PM ET.