Indiana Hoosiers open at home against the Florida Gulf Coast Eagles with the score still 0-0 at 9:59 of the first period. The model gives Indiana a 72% chance right now, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs Indiana Hoosiers: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreFlorida Gulf Coast 50, Indiana 79 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerIndiana 72%
- Pregame Projected scoreIndiana 70, Florida Gulf Coast 61
- Model spreadIndiana −9 total 130.5
- Margin29 projected 9.2
- Total129 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles or Indiana Hoosiers: the bandwagon
Axle 28–72Market –
FinalPregame: IU 72%Baseline: IU 95.1% (+22.8)Big swing: 7.5 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FGCU | 5 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 50 |
| IU | 19 | 14 | 25 | 21 | 79 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Florida Gulf Coast Eagles at Indiana Hoosiers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for IU over the last 5:00
Big swing7.5 ptstoward IU at 1:58 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineIU 95.1%game average, +22.8 points from the pregame 72.3%
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs Indiana Hoosiers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | FGCU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | FGCU17/58 | IU27/62 |
| 3-pointers | FGCU3/26 | IU10/30 |
| Free throws | FGCU13/18 | IU15/25 |
| Rebounds | FGCU32 | IU47 |
| Assists | FGCU9 | IU18 |
| Turnovers | FGCU19 | IU17 |
| Steals | FGCU9 | IU8 |
| Blocks | FGCU5 | IU2 |
| Points in the paint | FGCU26 | IU34 |
| Fast-break points | FGCU18 | IU14 |
| Fouls | FGCU24 | IU20 |
| Largest lead | FGCU0 | IU32 |
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs Indiana Hoosiers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | FGCU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | FGCU50 | IU79 |
| Average win probability | FGCU5% | IU95% |
| Longest scoring run | FGCU+5 | IU+13 |
| Time leading | FGCU0:00 | IU37:50 |
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs Indiana Hoosiers odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 21 h ago
Eagles28%
Win chanceHoosiers72%
SpreadIU −9closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+262away / −262homeaway / home
Line movementIU win chance, 27 stored lines
+9 pts for IU between Oct 29 and Nov 3
80%58%
Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | IU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 72% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 75% | +12 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- IU 1574 · FGCU 1511
- Home spread
- −9
- Stored
- Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET · 2026-11-04 01:53 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
- Last move
- spread −9.5 → −9
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 50, Indiana Hoosiers 79. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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EaglesHoosiers
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EaglesHoosiers
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs Indiana Hoosiers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Hoosiers a 9-point favorite at home, with a 72% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Hoosiers 1590 (82nd of 356), Eagles 1495 (176th). The Hoosiers are 1-0; the Eagles are 0-1. The Hoosiers have won 4 of their last 5; the Eagles 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Hoosiers won 1, the Eagles 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Indiana Hoosiers | L 50–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers | L 56–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Stetson Hatters | L 63–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bellarmine Knights | W 94–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stetson Hatters | W 67–55 | – | – | matchup |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | W 79–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ohio State Buckeyes | L 59–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nebraska Cornhuskers | W 72–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Penn State Lady Lions | W 93–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rutgers Scarlet Knights | W 79–69 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Hoosiers at Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 82–64 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Indiana Hoosiers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Eagles0-1 4th · L1
- Eagles rating1495 176th of 356, 1 games
- Hoosiers1-0 1st · W1
- Hoosiers rating1590 82nd of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $FGCUWBB
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No stances yet today on $FGCUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Florida Gulf Coast Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Indiana Hoosiers 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $IUWBB
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $IUWBB
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $IUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $IUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Indiana Hoosiers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Florida Gulf Coast Eagles at Indiana Hoosiers
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Final: Florida Gulf Coast 50, Indiana 79. Bandwagon's model had the Indiana at 72% and projected Indiana 70, Florida Gulf Coast 61; spread Indiana −9, total 130.5.