Evansville Purple Aces at DePaul Blue Demons is just underway, 0-0 with 9:54 left in the first. The house model has DePaul at 67% to win, and no crowd picks are in yet, so the Blue Demons lead on the numbers for now.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Wintrust Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Evansville Purple Aces vs DePaul Blue Demons: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreEvansville 65, DePaul 90 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerDePaul 67%
- Pregame Projected scoreDePaul 69, Evansville 61
- Model spreadDePaul −7.5 total 130.5
- Margin25 projected 7.6
- Total155 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Evansville Purple Aces or DePaul Blue Demons: the bandwagon
Axle 33–67Market –
FinalPregame: DEP 67%Baseline: DEP 78.3% (+10.9)Big swing: 19.8 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVAN | 23 | 10 | 17 | 15 | 65 |
| DEP | 17 | 20 | 28 | 25 | 90 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Evansville Purple Aces at DePaul Blue Demons win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for DEP over the last 5:00
Big swing19.8 ptstoward DEP at 10:48 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineDEP 78.3%game average, +10.9 points from the pregame 67.4%
Evansville Purple Aces vs DePaul Blue Demons live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | EVAN | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | EVAN23/52 | DEP29/65 |
| 3-pointers | EVAN7/24 | DEP13/35 |
| Free throws | EVAN12/14 | DEP19/23 |
| Rebounds | EVAN25 | DEP39 |
| Assists | EVAN19 | DEP25 |
| Turnovers | EVAN20 | DEP14 |
| Steals | EVAN6 | DEP7 |
| Blocks | EVAN1 | DEP1 |
| Points in the paint | EVAN28 | DEP22 |
| Fast-break points | EVAN9 | DEP13 |
| Fouls | EVAN18 | DEP16 |
| Largest lead | EVAN12 | DEP30 |
Evansville Purple Aces vs DePaul Blue Demons team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | EVAN | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Score | EVAN65 | DEP90 |
| Average win probability | EVAN22% | DEP78% |
| Longest scoring run | EVAN+10 | DEP+10 |
| Time leading | EVAN9:19 | DEP27:30 |
Evansville Purple Aces vs DePaul Blue Demons odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 21 h ago
Purple Aces33%
Win chanceBlue Demons67%
SpreadDEP −7.5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+207away / −207homeaway / home
Line movementDEP win chance, 24 stored lines
+4 pts for DEP between Oct 29 and Nov 3
74%58%
Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | DEP win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 67% | −2 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 69% | +6 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- DEP 1424 · EVAN 1394
- Home spread
- −7.5
- Stored
- Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET · 2026-11-04 01:53 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Evansville Purple Aces 65, DePaul Blue Demons 90. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Purple AcesBlue Demons
Neutrals only–
Purple AcesBlue Demons
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Blue Demons–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Evansville Purple Aces vs DePaul Blue Demons prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Blue Demons a 7.5-point favorite at home, with a 67% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Blue Demons 1441 (238th of 356), Purple Aces 1376 (302nd). The Blue Demons are 1-0; the Purple Aces are 0-1. The Blue Demons have won 3 of their last 5; the Purple Aces 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Evansville Purple Aces
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at DePaul Blue Demons | L 65–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Murray State Racers | L 70–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Illinois State Redbirds | W 75–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Belmont Bruins | W 76–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UIC Flames | W 76–71 | – | – | matchup |
DePaul Blue Demons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Evansville Purple Aces | W 90–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Providence Friars | L 55–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgetown Hoyas | W 59–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Butler Bulldogs | L 64–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Xavier Musketeers | W 76–67 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Evansville Purple Aces: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
DePaul Blue Demons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Purple Aces0-1 7th · L1
- Purple Aces rating1376 302nd of 356, 1 games
- Blue Demons1-0 3rd · W1
- Blue Demons rating1441 238th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $EVANWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $EVANWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Evansville Purple Aces bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $DEPWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $DEPWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $DEPWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $DEPWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the DePaul Blue Demons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Evansville Purple Aces at DePaul Blue Demons
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