Dayton Flyers vs Belmont Bruins prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Dayton at Belmont: Bandwagon's model makes Belmont a 68% favorite (Belmont −8).
Dayton Flyers vs Belmont Bruins odds and win probability
Axle gives Belmont a 68% chance to win, by about 8 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Belmont
All WCBB ratings| DAY | BEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1505 165th of 357 | 1533 137th of 357 |
| Record | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | BEL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 68% | −1 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:43 PM ET | 69% | −3 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:23 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 1:53 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:59 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:34 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:05 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:59 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:55 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:04 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 72% | — |
Dayton Flyers vs Belmont Bruins prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bruins a 8-point favorite at home, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 135.5. Ratings: Bruins 1533 (137th of 357), Flyers 1505 (165th). The Bruins are 0-3; the Flyers are 1-1. The Bruins have won 1 of their last 5; the Flyers 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Bruins won 1, the Flyers 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Dayton Flyers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Penn State Lady Lions | W 77–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Illinois State Redbirds | L 87–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at George Mason Patriots | L 85–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs George Washington Revolutionaries | W 62–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs VCU Rams | W 79–62 | – | – | matchup |
Belmont Bruins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Columbia Lions | L 64–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Florida Bulls | L 66–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Princeton Tigers | L 52–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Evansville Purple Aces | L 63–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UIC Flames | W 78–70 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont Bruins at Dayton Flyers | 72–66 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Dayton Flyers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Belmont Bruins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Flyers1-1 6th · W1
- Flyers rating1505 165th of 357, 2 games
- Bruins0-3 11th · L3
- Bruins rating1533 137th of 357, 3 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Dayton Flyers 1-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $DAYWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Dayton Flyers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Belmont Bruins 0-3
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 11th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $BELWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Belmont Bruins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Dayton Flyers at Belmont Bruins
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.