Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs San Francisco Dons prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
Cal State Bakersfield at San Francisco: Bandwagon's model makes San Francisco an 86% favorite (San Francisco −15).
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs San Francisco Dons odds and win probability
Axle gives San Francisco a 86% chance to win, by about 15 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has San Francisco
All WCBB ratings| CSUB | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1321 337th of 357 | 1490 179th of 357 |
| Record | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 games | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | SF win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 86% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:18 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 6:48 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:47 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:38 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:53 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:58 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 85% | — |
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs San Francisco Dons prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Dons a 15-point favorite at home, with a 86% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Dons 1490 (179th of 357), Roadrunners 1321 (337th). The Dons are 1-1; the Roadrunners are 1-0. The Dons have won 2 of their last 5; the Roadrunners 0 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Cal Poly Mustangs | L 54–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cal State Northridge Matadors | L 47–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Long Beach State Beach | L 62–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UC San Diego Tritons | L 79–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cal State Fullerton Titans | L 57–60 | – | – | matchup |
San Francisco Dons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at California Golden Bears | L 65–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | W 85–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Montana State Bobcats | L 53–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Valley Wolverines | W 80–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Santa Clara Broncos | L 69–87 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
San Francisco Dons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Roadrunners1-0 4th · W1
- Roadrunners rating1321 337th of 357, 0 games
- Dons1-1 7th · L1
- Dons rating1490 179th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $CSUBWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $SFWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San Francisco Dons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners at San Francisco Dons
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: San Francisco 86% to win. Projected score San Francisco 73, Cal State Bakersfield 58; spread San Francisco −15, total 130.5. Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners at San Francisco Dons, Sun, Nov 22, 5:00 PM ET.