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Axle 2.076% straight up1147 games
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Hec Edmundson Pavilion · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Cal Poly Mustangs vs Washington Huskies prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026

Cal Poly at Washington: Bandwagon's model makes Washington a 96% favorite (Washington −24).

Cal Poly Mustangs vs Washington Huskies odds and win probability

CP · AWAYCal Poly2-1 · won 1 of last 5
Tip-offHec Edmundson Pavilion
WASH · HOMEWashington2-0 · won 3 of last 5

Axle gives Washington a 96% chance to win, by about 24 points.

Cal Poly 4%Washington 96%
Projected score53–77Cal Poly–Washington
Model spreadWASH −24CP +24
Model total129.5points
Model moneyline+2265 / −2265CP / WASH

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got · no picks yet

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Why Axle has Washington

All WCBB ratings
CP and WASH side by side
CPWASH
Rating1324 333rd of 3571677 27th of 357
Record2-12-0
Last 5 games1-43-2
StreakL1W2
Home fieldNoYes

Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.

How Axle's line has moved

Line movementWASH win chance, 33 stored lines
No move
100%90%
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET: WASH 96%Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 9, 1:58 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 9, 6:03 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 9, 8:53 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 9, 9:48 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 9, 11:13 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 1:08 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 6:48 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 8:18 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET: WASH 96%Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET: WASH 96%
Nov 9Now
Every stored line
StoredWASH winMove
Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET96%0
Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET96%0
Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET96%0
Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET96%0
Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET96%0
Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET96%0
Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET96%0
Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET96%0
Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET96%0
Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET96%0
Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET96%0
Nov 10, 8:18 PM ET96%0
Nov 10, 6:48 PM ET96%0
Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET96%0
Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET96%0
Nov 10, 1:08 PM ET96%0
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET96%0
Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET96%0
Nov 9, 11:13 PM ET96%0
Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET96%0
Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET96%0
Nov 9, 9:48 PM ET96%0
Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET96%0
Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET96%0
Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET96%0
Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET96%0
Nov 9, 8:53 PM ET96%0
Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET96%0
Nov 9, 6:03 PM ET96%0
Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET96%0
Nov 9, 1:58 PM ET96%0
Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET96%0
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET96%—

Cal Poly Mustangs vs Washington Huskies prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Huskies a 24-point favorite at home, with a 96% chance to win. The model total is 129.5. Ratings: Huskies 1677 (27th of 357), Mustangs 1324 (333rd). The Huskies are 2-0; the Mustangs are 2-1. The Huskies have won 3 of their last 5; the Mustangs 1 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Form, head-to-head and injuries

Recent form

Cal Poly Mustangs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Idaho State BengalsL 51–64––matchup
at Cal State Bakersfield RoadrunnersW 66–54––matchup
vs UC Irvine AnteatersL 65–85––matchup
vs UC San Diego TritonsL 61–85––matchup
at Long Beach State BeachL 57–67––matchup

Washington Huskies

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Pacific TigersW 75–54––matchup
vs UC San Diego TritonsW 79–63––matchup
at TCU Horned FrogsL 59–62––matchup
vs South Dakota State JackrabbitsW 72–54––matchup
at UCLA BruinsL 60–78––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Cal Poly Mustangs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Washington Huskies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Mustangs2-1 5th · L1
  • Mustangs rating1324 333rd of 357, 1 games
  • Huskies2-0 13th · W2
  • Huskies rating1677 27th of 357, 2 games

More WCBB games in the next 7 days

The bandwagon on each team

Cal Poly Mustangs 2-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak L1

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CPWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CPWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CPWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CPWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Cal Poly Mustangs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Mustangs roster, schedule and more

Washington Huskies 2-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 13th · streak W2

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $WASHWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $WASHWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $WASHWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $WASHWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Washington Huskies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Huskies roster, schedule and more

Takes on Cal Poly Mustangs at Washington Huskies

Sign in to post a take on $CPWBBWASHWBB261122: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

How Axle makes this line

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Model: Washington 96% to win. Projected score Washington 77, Cal Poly 53; spread Washington −24, total 129.5. Cal Poly Mustangs at Washington Huskies, Sun, Nov 22, 5:00 PM ET.