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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Hec Edmundson Pavilion · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

UC San Diego Tritons vs Washington Huskies: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

UC San Diego Tritons or Washington Huskies: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 28–72Market –

FinalPregame: WASH 72%Baseline: WASH 79.0% (+6.6)Big swing: 23.0 ptsClutch window: none
Record 0-1
63+2179+30
Record 1-0
Score by period
Team1234T
UCSD1813112163
WASH1912183079
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

UC San Diego Tritons at Washington Huskies win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: Q4Fetched at
Win probability for WASH: 72 points, 72% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00WASH 100%UCSD 0%
Win probability for WASH: 72 points, 72% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00WASH 100%UCSD 0%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumStable+0.3 points for WASH over the last 5:00
Big swing23.0 ptstoward WASH at 19:54 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineWASH 79.0%game average, +6.6 points from the pregame 72.4%

UC San Diego Tritons vs Washington Huskies live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatUCSDWASH
Field goalsUCSD25/70WASH31/70
3-pointersUCSD13/33WASH8/25
Free throwsUCSD0/0WASH9/12
ReboundsUCSD26WASH54
AssistsUCSD13WASH18
TurnoversUCSD13WASH21
StealsUCSD9WASH6
BlocksUCSD5WASH5
Points in the paintUCSD16WASH46
Fast-break pointsUCSD0WASH15
FoulsUCSD16WASH7
Largest leadUCSD5WASH19

UC San Diego Tritons vs Washington Huskies team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatUCSDWASH
ScoreUCSD63WASH79
Average win probabilityUCSD21%WASH79%
Longest scoring runUCSD+6WASH+7
Time leadingUCSD8:57WASH28:26

UC San Diego Tritons vs Washington Huskies odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET
Tritons28%
Win chance
Huskies72%
SpreadWASH −9closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+262away / −262homeaway / home
Line movementWASH win chance, 10 stored lines
+9 pts for WASH between Oct 29 and Nov 2
81%58%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: WASH 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: WASH 75%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: WASH 75%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: WASH 75%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: WASH 72%Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET: WASH 72%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: WASH 72%Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET: WASH 72%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: WASH 72%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: WASH 72%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
StoredWASH winMove
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET72%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET72%0
Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET72%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET72%0
Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET72%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET72%−3
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET75%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET75%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET75%+12
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
WASH 1660 · UCSD 1596
Home spread
−9
Stored
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET · 2026-11-02 20:02 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: UC San Diego Tritons 63, Washington Huskies 79. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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TritonsHuskies
Neutrals only–
TritonsHuskies
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Huskies–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

UC San Diego Tritons vs Washington Huskies prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Huskies a 9-point favorite at home, with a 72% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Huskies 1672 (28th of 356), Tritons 1584 (88th). The Huskies are 1-0; the Tritons are 0-1. The Huskies have won 3 of their last 5; the Tritons 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Huskies won 1, the Tritons 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

UC San Diego Tritons

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Washington HuskiesL 63–79––matchup
at TCU Horned FrogsL 40–86––matchup
vs Hawai'i Rainbow WahineW 60–48––matchup
vs UC Davis AggiesW 84–79––matchup
vs UC Santa Barbara GauchosW 72–65––matchup

Washington Huskies

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs UC San Diego TritonsW 79–63––matchup
at TCU Horned FrogsL 59–62––matchup
vs South Dakota State JackrabbitsW 72–54––matchup
at UCLA BruinsL 60–78––matchup
vs USC TrojansW 76–64––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
UC San Diego Tritons at Washington Huskies50–67––matchup

Injuries

UC San Diego Tritons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Washington Huskies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Tritons0-1 12th · L1
  • Tritons rating1584 88th of 356, 1 games
  • Huskies1-0 4th · W1
  • Huskies rating1672 28th of 356, 1 games

UC San Diego Tritons 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UCSDWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UCSDWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UCSDWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UCSDWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UC San Diego Tritons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Tritons roster, schedule and more

Washington Huskies 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $WASHWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $WASHWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $WASHWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $WASHWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Washington Huskies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Huskies roster, schedule and more

Takes on UC San Diego Tritons at Washington Huskies

Sign in to post a take on $UCSDWBBWASHWBB261102: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

Final: UC San Diego 63, Washington 79. Bandwagon's model had the Washington at 72% and projected Washington 70, UC San Diego 61; spread Washington −9, total 130.5.