Ball State Cardinals vs UIC Flames prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
Ball State at UIC: Bandwagon's model makes Ball State a 62% favorite (Ball State −0.5).
Ball State Cardinals vs UIC Flames odds and win probability
Axle gives Ball State a 62% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Ball State
All WCBB ratings| BALL | UIC | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1623 68th of 357 | 1495 174th of 357 |
| Record | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UIC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:47 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:38 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:58 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:43 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET | 38% | +1 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:43 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:23 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:08 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET | 37% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 2:53 PM ET | 38% | +1 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 37% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 38% | — |
Ball State Cardinals vs UIC Flames prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cardinals a 0.5-point favorite, with a 62% chance to win. The model total is 133.5. Ratings: Flames 1495 (174th of 357), Cardinals 1623 (68th). The Flames are 2-1; the Cardinals are 1-1. The Flames have won 2 of their last 5; the Cardinals 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Flames won 1, the Cardinals 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Ball State Cardinals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs High Point Panthers | L 71–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas State Red Wolves | W 84–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toledo Rockets | L 65–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bowling Green Falcons | W 75–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toledo Rockets | W 78–71 | – | – | matchup |
UIC Flames
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Northwestern Wildcats | W 76–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Robert Morris Colonials | W 71–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ohio State Buckeyes | L 34–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Evansville Purple Aces | L 71–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Belmont Bruins | L 70–78 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UIC Flames at Ball State Cardinals | 66–64 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Ball State Cardinals: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UIC Flames: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Cardinals1-1 4th · L1
- Cardinals rating1623 68th of 357, 2 games
- Flames2-1 3rd · W2
- Flames rating1495 174th of 357, 3 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $BALLWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ball State Cardinals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
UIC Flames 2-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $UICWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UIC Flames bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Ball State Cardinals at UIC Flames
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Ball State 62% to win. Projected score Ball State 67, UIC 66; spread Ball State −0.5, total 133.5. Ball State Cardinals at UIC Flames, Sat, Nov 21, 3:00 PM ET.