App State Mountaineers vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026
App State at Wake Forest: Bandwagon's model makes Wake Forest a 70% favorite (Wake Forest −8.5).
App State Mountaineers vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons odds and win probability
Axle gives Wake Forest a 70% chance to win, by about 8 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Wake Forest
All WCBB ratings| APP | WAKE | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1447 232nd of 357 | 1488 182nd of 357 |
| Record | 2-0 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | W3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | WAKE win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:23 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:03 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:28 PM ET | 70% | +3 |
| Nov 8, 1:53 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:47 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:25 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:09 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:59 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 1:10 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:02 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:07 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:52 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:07 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 7:52 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 1:53 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 67% | — |
App State Mountaineers vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Demon Deacons a 8.5-point favorite at home, with a 70% chance to win. The model total is 131. Ratings: Demon Deacons 1488 (182nd of 357), Mountaineers 1447 (232nd). The Demon Deacons are 3-0; the Mountaineers are 2-0. The Demon Deacons have won 3 of their last 5; the Mountaineers 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
App State Mountaineers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Eastern Michigan Eagles | W 74–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Alabama Jaguars | L 57–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Old Dominion Monarchs | L 65–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Southern Eagles | L 48–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at James Madison Dukes | L 48–74 | – | – | matchup |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Mercer Bears | W 77–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Presbyterian Blue Hose | W 85–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans | W 65–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | L 48–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at California Golden Bears | L 52–75 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
App State Mountaineers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Wake Forest Demon Deacons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Mountaineers2-0 4th · W2
- Mountaineers rating1447 232nd of 357, 1 games
- Demon Deacons3-0 11th · W3
- Demon Deacons rating1488 182nd of 357, 3 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $APPWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the App State Mountaineers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 11th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $WAKEWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on App State Mountaineers at Wake Forest Demon Deacons
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Wake Forest 70% to win. Projected score Wake Forest 70, App State 61; spread Wake Forest −8.5, total 131. App State Mountaineers at Wake Forest Demon Deacons, Thu, Nov 19, 6:00 PM ET.