Alabama State Lady Hornets vs UTEP Miners prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026
Alabama State at UTEP: Bandwagon's model makes UTEP a 62% favorite (UTEP −6).
Alabama State Lady Hornets vs UTEP Miners odds and win probability
Axle gives UTEP a 62% chance to win, by about 6 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has UTEP
All WCBB ratings| ALST | UTEP | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1403 270th of 357 | 1426 252nd of 357 |
| Record | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UTEP win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 62% | −6 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:47 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:13 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:08 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:53 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:18 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:24 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:59 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:34 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:19 PM ET | 68% | +2 |
| Nov 7, 5:05 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:59 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:55 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:34 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:10 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 1:10 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:35 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:19 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:04 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:49 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:02 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:46 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 7:47 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 3:09 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 3:04 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 1:58 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 1:48 PM ET | 66% | +1 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 10:22 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 10:12 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 9:28 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 9:23 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 9:18 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 8:48 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 8:33 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 8:08 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 65% | +3 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 62% | — |
Alabama State Lady Hornets vs UTEP Miners prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Miners a 6-point favorite at home, with a 62% chance to win. The model total is 131.5. Ratings: Miners 1426 (252nd of 357), Lady Hornets 1403 (270th). The Miners are 2-1; the Lady Hornets are 1-2. The Miners have won 1 of their last 5; the Lady Hornets 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Alabama State Lady Hornets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at West Georgia Wolves | L 78–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Auburn Tigers | L 35–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southern Jaguars | L 56–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | W 72–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Grambling Lady Tigers | W 56–50 | – | – | matchup |
UTEP Miners
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs New Mexico State Aggies | L 50–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Incarnate Word Cardinals | W 74–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Jacksonville State Gamecocks | L 77–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters | L 87–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Sam Houston Bearkats | L 59–71 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Alabama State Lady Hornets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UTEP Miners: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lady Hornets1-2 4th · W1
- Lady Hornets rating1403 270th of 357, 2 games
- Miners2-1 3rd · L1
- Miners rating1426 252nd of 357, 1 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $ALSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Alabama State Lady Hornets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
UTEP Miners 2-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $UTEPWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UTEP Miners bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Alabama State Lady Hornets at UTEP Miners
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: UTEP 62% to win. Projected score UTEP 69, Alabama State 63; spread UTEP −6, total 131.5. Alabama State Lady Hornets at UTEP Miners, Sat, Nov 14, 3:00 PM ET.