Women's soccer tonight: Washington Spirit beat Chicago Stars FC 2-0 at home, and the game is over. The model had Washington at 80 percent before kickoff, and no crowd picks were recorded, so there is no fan split to report.
NWSL · · Audi Field · every National Women's Soccer League line
Chicago Stars FC vs Washington Spirit: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreChicago Stars FC 0, Washington Spirit 2 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerWashington Spirit 80%
- Pregame Projected scoreWashington Spirit 2.3, Chicago Stars FC 0.8
- Model spreadWashington Spirit −1.5 total 3
- Margin2 projected 1.5
- Total2 projected 3
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Chicago Stars FC or Washington Spirit: the bandwagon
Bandwagon
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Axle 9–80Market –
FinalPregame: WAS 85%Baseline: WAS 84.5% (−0.3)Big swing: 22.7 ptsClutch window: 41:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WAS | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
CHI 37.6%WAS 62.4%
Chicago Stars FC at Washington Spirit win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+2.4 points for WAS over the last 10:00
Big swing22.7 ptstoward WAS at 65:00 of game time
Clutch window41:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineWAS 84.5%game average, −0.3 points from the pregame 84.8%
Chicago Stars FC vs Washington Spirit live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | CHI | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | CHI37.6% | WAS62.4% |
| Shots | CHI19 | WAS17 |
| Shots on target | CHI4 | WAS3 |
| Corners | CHI8 | WAS6 |
| Passes completed | CHI208/295 | WAS402/490 |
| Saves | CHI3 | WAS4 |
| Fouls | CHI10 | WAS9 |
| Offsides | CHI0 | WAS2 |
| Yellow cards | CHI2 | WAS1 |
| Red cards | CHI0 | WAS0 |
Chicago Stars FC vs Washington Spirit team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | CHI | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CHI0 | WAS2 |
| Average win probability | CHI16% | WAS84% |
| Longest scoring run | CHI+0 | WAS+2 |
| Time leading | CHI0:00 | WAS25:00 |
Chicago Stars FC vs Washington Spirit odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 7:06 PM ET
Chicago Stars FC9%
Win chanceWashington Spirit80%
SpreadWAS −1.5closing model spread
Total3
Moneyline+1034away / +785draw / −397homeaway / draw / home
Line movementWAS win chance, 9 stored lines
+30 pts for WAS between Oct 29 and Nov 1
86%44%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | WAS win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 7:06 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 7:06 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 7:01 PM ET | 80% | +1 |
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:28 PM ET | 79% | −2 |
| Oct 29, 7:59 AM ET | 81% | +31 |
| Oct 29, 6:02 AM ET | 50% | — |
- Ratings
- WAS 1556 · CHI 1286
- Home spread
- −1.5
- Stored
- Nov 1, 7:06 PM ET · 2026-11-02 00:06 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Chicago Stars FC 0, Washington Spirit 2. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Women's Soccer League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:36 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 1, 2:58 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Chicago Stars FCWashington Spirit
Neutrals only–
Chicago Stars FCWashington Spirit
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Washington Spirit–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Chicago Stars FC vs Washington Spirit prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Washington Spirit a 1.5-point favorite at home, with a 80% chance to win and a 11% chance of a draw. The model total is 3. Ratings: Washington Spirit 1559 (5th of 16), Chicago Stars FC 1283 (16th). The Washington Spirit are 16-9-4; the Chicago Stars FC are 5-22-2. The Washington Spirit have won 3 of their last 5; the Chicago Stars FC 0 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Washington Spirit won 4, the Chicago Stars FC 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Chicago Stars FC
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Washington Spirit | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Dash | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Seattle Reign FC | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Denver Summit FC | L 0–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Gotham FC | L 1–3 | – | – | matchup |
Washington Spirit
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago Stars FC | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kansas City Current | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Gotham FC | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Houston Dash | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Angel City FC | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Spirit at Chicago Stars FC | 3–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Stars FC at Washington Spirit | 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Washington Spirit at Chicago Stars FC | 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Stars FC at Washington Spirit | 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Washington Spirit at Chicago Stars FC | 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Stars FC at Washington Spirit | 2–0 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Chicago Stars FC: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Washington Spirit: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Chicago Stars FC5-22-2 16th
- Chicago Stars FC rating1283 16th of 16, 30 games
- Washington Spirit16-9-4 3rd
- Washington Spirit rating1559 5th of 16, 30 games
Chicago Stars FC 5-22-2
National Women's Soccer League · 16th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CHICAGOSTARS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CHICAGOSTARS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CHICAGOSTARS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CHICAGOSTARS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chicago Stars FC bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Washington Spirit 16-9-4
National Women's Soccer League · 3rd
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SPIRIT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SPIRIT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SPIRIT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $SPIRIT: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Washington Spirit bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Chicago Stars FC at Washington Spirit
Sign in to post a take on $CHICAGOSTARSSPIRIT261101: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Chicago Stars FC 0, Washington Spirit 2. Bandwagon's model had the Washington Spirit at 80% and projected Washington Spirit 2.3, Chicago Stars FC 0.8; spread Washington Spirit −1.5, total 3.