NWSL tonight: Angel City FC beat Boston Legacy FC 4-1 at home, and the game is final. The model had Angel City at 60 percent before kickoff, and the crowd has not cast a single pick, so there is no crowd read to compare.
NWSL · · BMO Stadium · every National Women's Soccer League line
Boston Legacy FC vs Angel City FC: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreBoston Legacy FC 1, Angel City FC 4 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerAngel City FC 60%
- Pregame Projected scoreAngel City FC 2.0, Boston Legacy FC 1.0
- Model spreadAngel City FC −1 total 3
- Margin3 projected 1
- Total5 projected 3
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Boston Legacy FC or Angel City FC: the bandwagon
Bandwagon
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Axle 20–60Market –
FinalPregame: LA 70%Baseline: LA 83.6% (+13.5)Big swing: 26.1 ptsClutch window: 28:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| LA | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
BOS 60.5%LA 39.5%
Boston Legacy FC at Angel City FC win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for LA over the last 10:00
Big swing26.1 ptstoward LA at 53:00 of game time
Clutch window28:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineLA 83.6%game average, +13.5 points from the pregame 70.2%
Boston Legacy FC vs Angel City FC live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | BOS | LA |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | BOS60.5% | LA39.5% |
| Shots | BOS19 | LA14 |
| Shots on target | BOS2 | LA6 |
| Corners | BOS5 | LA2 |
| Passes completed | BOS370/437 | LA222/290 |
| Saves | BOS2 | LA1 |
| Fouls | BOS11 | LA8 |
| Offsides | BOS1 | LA1 |
| Yellow cards | BOS0 | LA1 |
| Red cards | BOS0 | LA0 |
Boston Legacy FC vs Angel City FC team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | BOS | LA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BOS1 | LA4 |
| Average win probability | BOS16% | LA84% |
| Longest scoring run | BOS+1 | LA+3 |
| Time leading | BOS0:00 | LA58:00 |
Boston Legacy FC vs Angel City FC odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET
Boston Legacy FC20%
Win chanceAngel City FC60%
SpreadLA −1closing model spread
Total3
Moneyline+399away / +411draw / −152homeaway / draw / home
Line movementLA win chance, 7 stored lines
+23 pts for LA between Oct 29 and Nov 1
66%32%
Oct 29Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | LA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:28 PM ET | 60% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 7:59 AM ET | 61% | +24 |
| Oct 29, 6:02 AM ET | 37% | — |
- Ratings
- LA 1570 · BOS 1450
- Home spread
- −1
- Stored
- Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-01 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Boston Legacy FC 1, Angel City FC 4. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Women's Soccer League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:36 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 1, 2:58 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Boston Legacy FCAngel City FC
Neutrals only–
Boston Legacy FCAngel City FC
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Angel City FC–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Boston Legacy FC vs Angel City FC prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Angel City FC a 1-point favorite at home, with a 60% chance to win and a 20% chance of a draw. The model total is 3. Ratings: Angel City FC 1578 (3rd of 16), Boston Legacy FC 1441 (12th). The Angel City FC are 14-8-7; the Boston Legacy FC are 9-14-6. The Angel City FC have won 4 of their last 5; the Boston Legacy FC 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Angel City FC won 1, the Boston Legacy FC 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Boston Legacy FC
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Angel City FC | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Diego Wave FC | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Racing Louisville FC | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Portland Thorns FC | W 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Seattle Reign FC | L 0–2 | – | – | matchup |
Angel City FC
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Boston Legacy FC | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bay FC | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Denver Summit FC | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Gotham FC | T 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington Spirit | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel City FC at Boston Legacy FC | 5–2 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Boston Legacy FC: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Angel City FC: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Boston Legacy FC9-14-6 13th
- Boston Legacy FC rating1441 12th of 16, 30 games
- Angel City FC14-8-7 5th
- Angel City FC rating1578 3rd of 16, 30 games
Boston Legacy FC 9-14-6
National Women's Soccer League · 13th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LEGACY
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $LEGACY
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $LEGACY
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $LEGACY: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Boston Legacy FC bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Angel City FC 14-8-7
National Women's Soccer League · 5th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ANGELCITY
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ANGELCITY
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ANGELCITY
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $ANGELCITY: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Angel City FC bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Boston Legacy FC at Angel City FC
Sign in to post a take on $LEGACYANGELCITY261101: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Boston Legacy FC 1, Angel City FC 4. Bandwagon's model had the Angel City FC at 60% and projected Angel City FC 2.0, Boston Legacy FC 1.0; spread Angel City FC −1, total 3.