West Florida Argonauts vs South Alabama Jaguars prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
West Florida at South Alabama: Bandwagon's model makes South Alabama a 67% favorite (South Alabama −6).
West Florida Argonauts vs South Alabama Jaguars odds and win probability
Axle gives South Alabama a 67% chance to win, by about 6 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has South Alabama
All CBB ratings| UWF | USA | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1487 201st of 365 | 1500 172nd of 365 |
| Record | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 0-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | USA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:13 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 67% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:08 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:18 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 68% | — |
West Florida Argonauts vs South Alabama Jaguars prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Jaguars a 6-point favorite at home, with a 67% chance to win. The model total is 147.5. Ratings: Jaguars 1500 (172nd of 365), Argonauts 1487 (201st). The Jaguars are 1-2; the Argonauts are 2-1. The Jaguars have won 1 of their last 5; the Argonauts 0 of their last 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
West Florida Argonauts
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Florida International Panthers | L 75–85 | – | – | matchup |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UCF Knights | L 69–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks | W 83–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ohio Bobcats | L 77–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Auburn Tigers | L 67–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Southern Eagles | L 85–94 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
West Florida Argonauts: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
South Alabama Jaguars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Argonauts2-1 2nd · W1
- Argonauts rating1487 201st of 365, 1 games
- Jaguars1-2 10th · L1
- Jaguars rating1500 172nd of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $UWFMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the West Florida Argonauts bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $USAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Alabama Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on West Florida Argonauts at South Alabama Jaguars
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: South Alabama 67% to win. Projected score South Alabama 77, West Florida 71; spread South Alabama −6, total 147.5. West Florida Argonauts at South Alabama Jaguars, Sun, Nov 22, 3:00 PM ET.