UTEP Miners vs New Mexico State Aggies prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026
UTEP at New Mexico State: Bandwagon's model makes New Mexico State a 72% favorite (New Mexico State −7.5).
UTEP Miners vs New Mexico State Aggies odds and win probability
Axle gives New Mexico State a 72% chance to win, by about 8 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has New Mexico State
All CBB ratings| UTEP | NMSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1436 271st of 365 | 1488 198th of 365 |
| Record | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 3 | 3 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | NMSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:23 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:13 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:03 PM ET | 72% | −2 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:17 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:07 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:35 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:59 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:50 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:44 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:19 PM ET | 74% | −1 |
| Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:40 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:29 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 12:04 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:34 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:24 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:04 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:15 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:56 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:31 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:06 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:36 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | — |
UTEP Miners vs New Mexico State Aggies prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Aggies a 7.5-point favorite at home, with a 72% chance to win. The model total is 148.5. Ratings: Aggies 1488 (198th of 365), Miners 1436 (271st). The Aggies are 1-1; the Miners are 1-1. The Aggies have won 3 of their last 5; the Miners 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Aggies won 3, the Miners 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
UTEP Miners
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Incarnate Word Cardinals | W 79–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northern Kentucky Norse | L 76–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks | L 61–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kennesaw State Owls | W 78–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | L 65–97 | – | – | matchup |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Gonzaga Bulldogs | L 68–109 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Sam Houston Bearkats | L 61–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Jacksonville State Gamecocks | W 68–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kennesaw State Owls | W 79–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks | W 77–75 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP Miners at New Mexico State Aggies | 63–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| New Mexico State Aggies at UTEP Miners | 88–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| UTEP Miners at New Mexico State Aggies | 66–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| New Mexico State Aggies at UTEP Miners | 85–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| New Mexico State Aggies at UTEP Miners | 49–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| UTEP Miners at New Mexico State Aggies | 53–63 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
UTEP Miners: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
New Mexico State Aggies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Miners1-1 10th · W1
- Miners rating1436 271st of 365, 2 games
- Aggies1-1 9th · L1
- Aggies rating1488 198th of 365, 1 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
UTEP Miners 1-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $UTEPMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UTEP Miners bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $NMSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New Mexico State Aggies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on UTEP Miners at New Mexico State Aggies
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: New Mexico State 72% to win. Projected score New Mexico State 78, UTEP 70; spread New Mexico State −7.5, total 148.5. UTEP Miners at New Mexico State Aggies, Thu, Nov 19, 9:00 PM ET.