Utah Valley Wolverines vs Nevada Wolf Pack prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026
- Projected winnerNevada 64%
- Projected scoreNevada 75, Utah Valley 70
- Model spreadNevada −5 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Utah Valley Wolverines or Nevada Wolf Pack: the bandwagon
Axle 36–64Market –
Utah Valley Wolverines at Nevada Wolf Pack win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Utah Valley Wolverines vs Nevada Wolf Pack live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Utah Valley Wolverines vs Nevada Wolf Pack team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | UVU | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UVU– | NEV– |
| Average win probability | UVU– | NEV– |
| Longest scoring run | UVU– | NEV– |
| Time leading | UVU– | NEV– |
Utah Valley Wolverines vs Nevada Wolf Pack odds
Every stored line
| Stored | NEV win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET | 64% | +2 |
| Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 62% | — |
- Ratings
- NEV 1587 · UVU 1597
- Home spread
- −5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Utah Valley Wolverines vs Nevada Wolf Pack prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wolf Pack a 5-point favorite at home, with a 64% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Wolf Pack 1587 (60th of 361), Wolverines 1597 (48th). The Wolf Pack are 1-0; the Wolverines are 1-0. The Wolf Pack have won 3 of their last 5; the Wolverines 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs George Washington Revolutionaries | L 78–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs California Baptist Lancers | L 61–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UT Arlington Mavericks | W 67–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Tech Trailblazers | W 104–101 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Southern Utah Thunderbirds | W 92–88 | – | – | matchup |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Robert Morris Colonials | W 86–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Auburn Tigers | L 69–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Liberty Flames | W 73–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Murray State Racers | W 89–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah State Aggies | L 66–79 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Utah Valley Wolverines: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Nevada Wolf Pack: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Wolverines1-0 7th · W1
- Wolverines rating1597 48th of 361, 0 games
- Wolf Pack1-0 3rd · W1
- Wolf Pack rating1587 60th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $UVUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah Valley Wolverines bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Nevada Wolf Pack 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $NEVMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Nevada Wolf Pack bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Utah Valley Wolverines at Nevada Wolf Pack
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Model: Nevada 64% to win. Projected score Nevada 75, Utah Valley 70; spread Nevada −5, total 145.5. Utah Valley Wolverines at Nevada Wolf Pack, Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PM ET.