UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs UT Arlington Mavericks prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026
- Projected winnerUT Arlington 60%
- Projected scoreUT Arlington 75, UT Rio Grande Valley 71
- Model spreadUT Arlington −4 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros or UT Arlington Mavericks: the bandwagon
Axle 40–60Market –
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros at UT Arlington Mavericks win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs UT Arlington Mavericks live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs UT Arlington Mavericks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | RGV | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | RGV– | UTA– |
| Average win probability | RGV– | UTA– |
| Longest scoring run | RGV– | UTA– |
| Time leading | RGV– | UTA– |
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs UT Arlington Mavericks odds
Every stored line
| Stored | UTA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 60% | — |
- Ratings
- UTA 1503 · RGV 1538
- Home spread
- −4
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs UT Arlington Mavericks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Mavericks a 4-point favorite at home, with a 60% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Mavericks 1503 (173rd of 361), Vaqueros 1538 (110th). The Mavericks are 1-0; the Vaqueros are 1-0. The Mavericks have won 3 of their last 5; the Vaqueros 3 of their last 5. The two have met 5 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Mavericks won 5, the Vaqueros 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at McNeese Cowboys | L 80–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nicholls Colonels | W 86–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northwestern State Demons | W 74–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs East Texas A&M Lions | W 63–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| at McNeese Cowboys | L 68–75 | – | – | matchup |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Utah Valley Wolverines | L 65–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds | W 69–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Abilene Christian Wildcats | W 64–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tarleton State Texans | W 65–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at California Baptist Lancers | L 56–68 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT Arlington Mavericks at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 58–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| UT Arlington Mavericks at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 89–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros at UT Arlington Mavericks | 73–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| UT Arlington Mavericks at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 64–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros at UT Arlington Mavericks | 73–85 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UT Arlington Mavericks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Vaqueros1-0 7th · W1
- Vaqueros rating1538 110th of 361, 0 games
- Mavericks1-0 6th · W1
- Mavericks rating1503 173rd of 361, 0 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $RGVMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $UTAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UT Arlington Mavericks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: UT Arlington 60% to win. Projected score UT Arlington 75, UT Rio Grande Valley 71; spread UT Arlington −4, total 145.5. UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros at UT Arlington Mavericks, Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET.