UC Irvine Anteaters vs Loyola Marymount Lions prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
UC Irvine at Loyola Marymount: Bandwagon's model makes UC Irvine a 65% favorite (UC Irvine −2.5).
UC Irvine Anteaters vs Loyola Marymount Lions odds and win probability
Axle gives UC Irvine a 65% chance to win, by about 3 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has UC Irvine
All CBB ratings| UCI | LMU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1583 64th of 365 | 1469 228th of 365 |
| Record | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Meetings won | 2 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | LMU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:33 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 35% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:43 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 36% | — |
UC Irvine Anteaters vs Loyola Marymount Lions prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Anteaters a 2.5-point favorite, with a 65% chance to win. The model total is 149.5. Ratings: Lions 1469 (228th of 365), Anteaters 1583 (64th). The Lions are 1-2; the Anteaters are 2-0. The Lions have won 1 of their last 5; the Anteaters 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Lions won 0, the Anteaters 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs San José State Spartans | W 91–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNLV Rebels | L 72–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | L 64–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cal State Northridge Matadors | W 93–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UC Davis Aggies | W 79–69 | – | – | matchup |
Loyola Marymount Lions
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Troy Trojans | L 69–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Queens University Royals | L 95–96 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Diego Toreros | L 62–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Seattle U Redhawks | L 66–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington State Cougars | W 67–66 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Irvine Anteaters at Loyola Marymount Lions | 66–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| Loyola Marymount Lions at UC Irvine Anteaters | 64–79 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
UC Irvine Anteaters: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Loyola Marymount Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Anteaters2-0 2nd · W2
- Anteaters rating1583 64th of 365, 1 games
- Lions1-2 9th · L1
- Lions rating1469 228th of 365, 1 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $UCIMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UC Irvine Anteaters bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $LMUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Loyola Marymount Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on UC Irvine Anteaters at Loyola Marymount Lions
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: UC Irvine 65% to win. Projected score UC Irvine 76, Loyola Marymount 73; spread UC Irvine −2.5, total 149.5. UC Irvine Anteaters at Loyola Marymount Lions, Sun, Nov 22, 4:30 PM ET.