Towson Tigers vs Morgan State Bears prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026
Towson at Morgan State: Bandwagon's model makes Towson a 64% favorite (Towson −2.5).
Towson Tigers vs Morgan State Bears odds and win probability
Axle gives Towson a 64% chance to win, by about 2 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Towson
All CBB ratings| TOW | MORG | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1534 123rd of 365 | 1423 287th of 365 |
| Record | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | W3 |
| Meetings won | 2 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | MORG win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:33 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:58 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:08 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 37% | −2 |
| Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:14 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:03 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:52 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 39% | +2 |
| Nov 7, 8:14 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:19 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:40 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:09 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:29 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:09 PM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 37% | — |
Towson Tigers vs Morgan State Bears prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 2.5-point favorite, with a 64% chance to win. The model total is 144. Ratings: Bears 1423 (287th of 365), Tigers 1534 (123rd). The Bears are 3-0; the Tigers are 1-2. The Bears have won 3 of their last 5; the Tigers 2 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bears won 0, the Tigers 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Towson Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Long Island University Sharks | W 66–46 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Utes | L 57–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Santa Clara Broncos | L 70–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Hofstra Pride | L 65–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Charleston Cougars | W 81–56 | – | – | matchup |
Morgan State Bears
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Niagara Purple Eagles | W 73–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Delaware State Hornets | L 70–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Coppin State Eagles | W 70–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Norfolk State Spartans | W 90–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Howard Bison | L 59–84 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Towson Tigers at Morgan State Bears | 64–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| Morgan State Bears at Towson Tigers | 58–67 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Towson Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Morgan State Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Tigers1-2 11th · W1
- Tigers rating1534 123rd of 365, 3 games
- Bears3-0 1st · W3
- Bears rating1423 287th of 365, 1 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Towson Tigers 1-2
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TOWMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Towson Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W3
No stances yet today on $MORGMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Morgan State Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Towson Tigers at Morgan State Bears
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Towson 64% to win. Projected score Towson 73, Morgan State 71; spread Towson −2.5, total 144. Towson Tigers at Morgan State Bears, Sat, Nov 14, 1:00 PM ET.