Robert Morris Colonials vs Toledo Rockets prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026
Robert Morris at Toledo: Bandwagon's model makes Toledo a 67% favorite (Toledo −6).
Robert Morris Colonials vs Toledo Rockets odds and win probability
Axle gives Toledo a 67% chance to win, by about 6 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Toledo
All CBB ratings| RMU | TOL | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1516 154th of 365 | 1540 114th of 365 |
| Record | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | TOL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 67% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 66% | −3 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:43 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:12 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:09 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 69% | +2 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:34 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:59 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:02 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:56 PM ET | 67% | +2 |
| Nov 6, 9:36 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:01 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:56 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:11 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | — |
Robert Morris Colonials vs Toledo Rockets prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Rockets a 6-point favorite at home, with a 67% chance to win. The model total is 144.5. Ratings: Rockets 1540 (114th of 365), Colonials 1516 (154th). The Rockets are 1-3; the Colonials are 0-2. The Rockets have won 1 of their last 5; the Colonials 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Rockets won 0, the Colonials 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Robert Morris Colonials
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UIC Flames | L 56–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nevada Wolf Pack | L 49–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Detroit Mercy Titans | L 64–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Youngstown State Penguins | W 68–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cleveland State Vikings | W 83–64 | – | – | matchup |
Toledo Rockets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Wright State Raiders | L 68–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Marshall Thundering Herd | W 81–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Michigan State Spartans | L 61–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas State Red Wolves | L 70–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Akron Zips | L 76–79 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets at Robert Morris Colonials | 70–75 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Robert Morris Colonials: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Toledo Rockets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Colonials0-2 11th · L2
- Colonials rating1516 154th of 365, 2 games
- Rockets1-3 12th · L1
- Rockets rating1540 114th of 365, 3 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $RMUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Robert Morris Colonials bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Toledo Rockets 1-3
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 12th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $TOLMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Toledo Rockets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Robert Morris Colonials at Toledo Rockets
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Toledo 67% to win. Projected score Toledo 75, Robert Morris 69; spread Toledo −6, total 144.5. Robert Morris Colonials at Toledo Rockets, Thu, Nov 19, 7:00 PM ET.