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Axle 2.076% straight up1147 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · E. A. Diddle Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Richmond Spiders vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026

Richmond at Western Kentucky: Bandwagon's model has this one even.

Richmond Spiders vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers odds and win probability

RICHRichmond3-0 · won 3 straight
Tip-offE. A. Diddle Arena
WKUWestern Kentucky2-1 · won 1 of last 5

Axle has this one even: Richmond 49%, Western Kentucky 51%.

Richmond 49%Western Kentucky 51%
Projected score74–75Richmond–Western Kentucky
Model spreadWKU −1.5RICH +1.5
Model total149.5points
Model moneyline+102 / −102RICH / WKU

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got · no picks yet

Hop on a side before tip-off

Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.

How the two sides compare

All CBB ratings
RICH and WKU side by side
RICHWKU
Rating1520 150th of 3651504 167th of 365
Record3-02-1
Last 5 games2-31-4
StreakW3L1

Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.

How Axle's line has moved

Line movementWKU win chance, 32 stored lines
−5 pts for WKU since Nov 7
61%45%
Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET: WKU 56%Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET: WKU 56%Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET: WKU 56%Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET: WKU 56%Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET: WKU 56%Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET: WKU 56%Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET: WKU 56%Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET: WKU 55%Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET: WKU 55%Nov 8, 7:14 PM ET: WKU 51%Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET: WKU 51%Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET: WKU 51%Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET: WKU 51%Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET: WKU 51%Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET: WKU 51%Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET: WKU 51%Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET: WKU 51%Nov 9, 10:13 PM ET: WKU 51%Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET: WKU 51%Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET: WKU 51%Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET: WKU 51%Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET: WKU 51%Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET: WKU 51%Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET: WKU 51%Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET: WKU 51%Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET: WKU 51%Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET: WKU 51%Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET: WKU 51%Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET: WKU 51%Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET: WKU 51%Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET: WKU 51%Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET: WKU 51%
Nov 7Nov 9Now
Every stored line
StoredWKU winMove
Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET51%0
Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET51%0
Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET51%0
Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET51%0
Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET51%0
Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET51%0
Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET51%0
Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET51%0
Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET51%0
Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET51%0
Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET51%0
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET51%0
Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET51%0
Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET51%0
Nov 9, 10:13 PM ET51%0
Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET51%0
Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET51%0
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET51%0
Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET51%0
Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET51%0
Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET51%0
Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET51%0
Nov 8, 7:14 PM ET51%−4
Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET55%0
Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET55%−1
Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET56%0
Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET56%0
Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET56%0
Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET56%0
Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET56%0
Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET56%0
Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET56%—

Richmond Spiders vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers prediction

Bandwagon's model has this one even: 51% for the Hilltoppers. The model total is 149.5. Ratings: Hilltoppers 1504 (167th of 365), Spiders 1520 (150th). The Hilltoppers are 2-1; the Spiders are 3-0. The Hilltoppers have won 1 of their last 5; the Spiders 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Form, head-to-head and injuries

Recent form

Richmond Spiders

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Temple OwlsW 79–53––matchup
vs UNC Asheville BulldogsW 100–77––matchup
vs Loyola Chicago RamblersL 67–75––matchup
at Duquesne DukesL 77–79––matchup
vs Dayton FlyersL 60–65––matchup

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Tennessee Tech Golden EaglesL 94–97––matchup
vs Morehead State EaglesW 83–58––matchup
vs Kennesaw State OwlsL 87–96––matchup
at Florida International PanthersL 67–92––matchup
at Missouri State BearsL 74–87––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Richmond Spiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Spiders3-0 5th · W3
  • Spiders rating1520 150th of 365, 2 games
  • Hilltoppers2-1 5th · L1
  • Hilltoppers rating1504 167th of 365, 2 games

More CBB games in the next 7 days

The bandwagon on each team

Richmond Spiders 3-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W3

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $RICHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $RICHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $RICHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $RICHMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Richmond Spiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Spiders roster, schedule and more

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 2-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak L1

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $WKUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $WKUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $WKUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $WKUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Hilltoppers roster, schedule and more

Takes on Richmond Spiders at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Sign in to post a take on $RICHMBBWKUMBB261121: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

How Axle makes this line

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Model: even. Projected score Western Kentucky 75, Richmond 74; spread Western Kentucky −1.5, total 149.5. Richmond Spiders at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, Fri, Nov 20, 7:00 PM ET.