Richmond Spiders vs Liberty Flames prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
Richmond at Liberty: Bandwagon's model makes Liberty a 57% favorite (Liberty −3).
Richmond Spiders vs Liberty Flames odds and win probability
Axle gives Liberty a 57% chance to win, by about 3 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hop on a side before tip-off
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has Liberty
All CBB ratings| RICH | LIB | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1520 150th of 365 | 1550 92nd of 365 |
| Record | 3-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W3 | W1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | LIB win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 57% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 58% | — |
Richmond Spiders vs Liberty Flames prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Flames a 3-point favorite, with a 57% chance to win. The model total is 145. Ratings: Flames 1550 (92nd of 365), Spiders 1520 (150th). The Flames are 1-1; the Spiders are 3-0. The Flames have won 2 of their last 5; the Spiders 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Richmond Spiders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Temple Owls | W 79–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs | W 100–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers | L 67–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Duquesne Dukes | L 77–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Dayton Flyers | L 60–65 | – | – | matchup |
Liberty Flames
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at High Point Panthers | L 57–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nevada Wolf Pack | L 63–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at George Mason Patriots | W 77–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri State Bears | L 69–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sam Houston Bearkats | W 79–72 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Richmond Spiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Liberty Flames: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Spiders3-0 5th · W3
- Spiders rating1520 150th of 365, 2 games
- Flames1-1 8th · W1
- Flames rating1550 92nd of 365, 1 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Richmond Spiders 3-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $RICHMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Richmond Spiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Liberty Flames 1-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $LIBMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Liberty Flames bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Richmond Spiders at Liberty Flames
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Liberty 57% to win. Projected score Liberty 74, Richmond 71; spread Liberty −3, total 145. Richmond Spiders at Liberty Flames, Sun, Nov 22, 4:30 PM ET.