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Axle 2.076% straight up1147 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Matthew Knight Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Oregon State Beavers vs Oregon Ducks prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026

Oregon State at Oregon: Bandwagon's model has this one even.

Oregon State Beavers vs Oregon Ducks odds and win probability

ORSTOregon State3-0 · won 3 straight
Tip-offMatthew Knight Arena
OREOregon2-0 · won 3 of last 5

Axle has this one even: Oregon State 51%, Oregon 49%.

Oregon State 51%Oregon 49%
Projected score75–76Oregon State–Oregon
Model spreadORE −1ORST +1
Model total151points
Model moneyline−104 / +104ORST / ORE

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got · no picks yet

Hop on a side before tip-off

Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.

How the two sides compare

All CBB ratings
ORST and ORE side by side
ORSTORE
Rating1546 100th of 3651521 147th of 365
Record3-02-0
Last 5 games4-13-2
StreakW3W2
Meetings won06

Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.

How Axle's line has moved

Line movementORE win chance, 60 stored lines
−2 pts for ORE since Nov 6
59%44%
Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET: ORE 51%Nov 6, 6:09 PM ET: ORE 51%Nov 6, 8:11 PM ET: ORE 54%Nov 6, 9:22 PM ET: ORE 54%Nov 6, 9:26 PM ET: ORE 54%Nov 6, 10:35 PM ET: ORE 54%Nov 6, 10:40 PM ET: ORE 54%Nov 6, 11:09 PM ET: ORE 54%Nov 6, 11:19 PM ET: ORE 54%Nov 6, 11:44 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET: ORE 50%Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 7, 5:09 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 7, 7:04 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 7, 7:09 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 8, 12:07 AM ET: ORE 50%Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 8, 7:14 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET: ORE 50%Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 9, 11:23 PM ET: ORE 50%Nov 9, 11:53 PM ET: ORE 49%Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET: ORE 49%Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET: ORE 49%Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET: ORE 49%Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET: ORE 49%Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET: ORE 49%Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET: ORE 49%Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET: ORE 49%Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET: ORE 49%Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET: ORE 49%Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET: ORE 49%Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET: ORE 49%
Nov 6Nov 8Now
Every stored line
StoredORE winMove
Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET49%0
Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET49%0
Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET49%0
Nov 10, 11:48 PM ET49%0
Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET49%0
Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET49%0
Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET49%0
Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET49%0
Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET49%0
Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET49%0
Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET49%0
Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET49%0
Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET49%0
Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET49%0
Nov 9, 11:53 PM ET49%−1
Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET50%0
Nov 9, 11:23 PM ET50%0
Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET50%0
Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET50%0
Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET50%0
Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET50%0
Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET50%0
Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET50%0
Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET50%0
Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET50%0
Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET50%0
Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET50%0
Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET50%0
Nov 8, 7:14 PM ET50%0
Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET50%0
Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET50%0
Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET50%0
Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET50%0
Nov 8, 12:07 AM ET50%0
Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET50%0
Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET50%0
Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET50%0
Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET50%0
Nov 7, 7:09 PM ET50%0
Nov 7, 7:04 PM ET50%0
Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET50%0
Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET50%0
Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET50%0
Nov 7, 5:09 PM ET50%0
Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET50%0
Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET50%0
Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET50%0
Nov 6, 11:44 PM ET50%0
Nov 6, 11:24 PM ET50%−4
Nov 6, 11:19 PM ET54%0
Nov 6, 11:09 PM ET54%0
Nov 6, 10:40 PM ET54%0
Nov 6, 10:35 PM ET54%0
Nov 6, 10:30 PM ET54%0
Nov 6, 9:26 PM ET54%0
Nov 6, 9:22 PM ET54%0
Nov 6, 8:11 PM ET54%+3
Nov 6, 7:12 PM ET51%0
Nov 6, 6:09 PM ET51%0
Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET51%—

Oregon State Beavers vs Oregon Ducks prediction

Bandwagon's model has this one even: 49% for the Ducks. The model total is 151. Ratings: Ducks 1521 (147th of 365), Beavers 1546 (100th). The Ducks are 2-0; the Beavers are 3-0. The Ducks have won 3 of their last 5; the Beavers 4 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Ducks won 6, the Beavers 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Form, head-to-head and injuries

Recent form

Oregon State Beavers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Eastern Washington EaglesW 94–84––matchup
vs California Baptist LancersW 96–68––matchup
vs Weber State WildcatsW 102–61––matchup
at Gonzaga BulldogsL 56–65––matchup
vs San Francisco DonsW 78–77––matchup

Oregon Ducks

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Eastern Washington EaglesW 98–71––matchup
vs Montana GrizzliesW 87–69––matchup
vs Maryland TerrapinsL 60–70––matchup
vs Washington HuskiesW 85–79––matchup
at Illinois Fighting IlliniL 54–80––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Oregon State Beavers at Oregon Ducks75–87––matchup
Oregon Ducks at Oregon State Beavers78–75––matchup
Oregon State Beavers at Oregon Ducks71–78––matchup
Oregon Ducks at Oregon State Beavers60–58––matchup
Oregon Ducks at Oregon State Beavers69–67––matchup
Oregon State Beavers at Oregon Ducks68–77––matchup

Injuries

Oregon State Beavers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Oregon Ducks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Beavers3-0 1st · W3
  • Beavers rating1546 100th of 365, 3 games
  • Ducks2-0 7th · W2
  • Ducks rating1521 147th of 365, 2 games

More CBB games in the next 7 days

The bandwagon on each team

Oregon State Beavers 3-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W3

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ORSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ORSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ORSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ORSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Oregon State Beavers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Beavers roster, schedule and more

Oregon Ducks 2-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak W2

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $OREMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $OREMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $OREMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $OREMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Oregon Ducks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Ducks roster, schedule and more

Takes on Oregon State Beavers at Oregon Ducks

Sign in to post a take on $ORSTMBBOREMBB261120: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

How Axle makes this line

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.