Navy Midshipmen vs Rider Broncs prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
Navy at Rider: Bandwagon's model makes Navy a 68% favorite (Navy −3.5).
Navy Midshipmen vs Rider Broncs odds and win probability
Axle gives Navy a 68% chance to win, by about 4 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Navy
All CBB ratings| NAVY | RID | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1544 107th of 365 | 1311 363rd of 365 |
| Record | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W2 | L3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | RID win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:53 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:23 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:08 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:18 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 32% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:03 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 33% | — |
Navy Midshipmen vs Rider Broncs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Midshipmen a 3.5-point favorite, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 142. Ratings: Broncs 1311 (363rd of 365), Midshipmen 1544 (107th). The Broncs are 0-3; the Midshipmen are 2-1. The Broncs have won 0 of their last 5; the Midshipmen 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Broncs won 1, the Midshipmen 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Navy Midshipmen
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Delaware State Hornets | W 66–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at George Washington Revolutionaries | L 39–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wake Forest Demon Deacons | L 72–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston University Terriers | L 72–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bucknell Bison | W 74–69 | – | – | matchup |
Rider Broncs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Binghamton Bearcats | L 63–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Hampshire Wildcats | L 55–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Pittsburgh Panthers | L 57–95 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Siena Saints | L 61–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Iona Gaels | L 58–80 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rider Broncs at Navy Midshipmen | 90–79 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Navy Midshipmen: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Rider Broncs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Midshipmen2-1 2nd · W2
- Midshipmen rating1544 107th of 365, 2 games
- Broncs0-3 12th · L3
- Broncs rating1311 363rd of 365, 3 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Navy Midshipmen 2-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $NAVYMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Navy Midshipmen bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Rider Broncs 0-3
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 12th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $RIDMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Rider Broncs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Navy Midshipmen at Rider Broncs
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.