Indiana State Sycamores vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Indiana State at Stephen F. Austin: Bandwagon's model makes Stephen F. Austin a 73% favorite (Stephen F. Austin −7.5).
Indiana State Sycamores vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks odds and win probability
Axle gives Stephen F. Austin a 73% chance to win, by about 8 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Stephen F. Austin
All CBB ratings| INST | SFA | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1449 256th of 365 | 1590 57th of 365 |
| Record | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | W2 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | SFA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:53 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:08 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:18 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:14 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:03 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:09 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:09 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 73% | — |
Indiana State Sycamores vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lumberjacks a 7.5-point favorite, with a 73% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Lumberjacks 1590 (57th of 365), Sycamores 1449 (256th). The Lumberjacks are 2-0; the Sycamores are 1-1. The Lumberjacks have won 3 of their last 5; the Sycamores 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Indiana State Sycamores
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Ball State Cardinals | W 69–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charlotte 49ers | L 70–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Valparaiso Beacons | L 62–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UIC Flames | W 79–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Southern Illinois Salukis | L 55–66 | – | – | matchup |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Tulsa Golden Hurricane | L 84–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs McNeese Cowboys | L 59–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | W 60–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Incarnate Word Cardinals | W 76–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Houston Christian Huskies | W 77–56 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Indiana State Sycamores: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Sycamores1-1 8th · W1
- Sycamores rating1449 256th of 365, 2 games
- Lumberjacks2-0 3rd · W2
- Lumberjacks rating1590 57th of 365, 0 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $INSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Indiana State Sycamores bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $SFAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Indiana State Sycamores at Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Stephen F. Austin 73% to win. Projected score Stephen F. Austin 77, Indiana State 69; spread Stephen F. Austin −7.5, total 145.5. Indiana State Sycamores at Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks, Fri, Nov 20, 3:00 PM ET.