Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs Idaho Vandals prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Cal State Bakersfield at Idaho: Bandwagon's model makes Idaho an 81% favorite (Idaho −10.5).
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs Idaho Vandals odds and win probability
Axle gives Idaho a 81% chance to win, by about 11 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Idaho
All CBB ratings| CSUB | IDHO | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1376 338th of 365 | 1502 169th of 365 |
| Record | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 2 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | IDHO win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 81% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 80% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 81% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:43 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 80% | −3 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:52 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:55 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:14 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:40 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:09 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 83% | — |
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs Idaho Vandals prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Vandals a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 81% chance to win. The model total is 147.5. Ratings: Vandals 1502 (169th of 365), Roadrunners 1376 (338th). The Vandals are 2-1; the Roadrunners are 2-0. The Vandals have won 3 of their last 5; the Roadrunners 1 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Vandals won 0, the Roadrunners 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs North Dakota State Bison | W 91–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cal Poly Mustangs | L 76–108 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cal State Northridge Matadors | L 84–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Long Beach State Beach | L 87–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UC San Diego Tritons | L 72–84 | – | – | matchup |
Idaho Vandals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Colorado State Rams | L 67–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Houston Cougars | L 47–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Montana Grizzlies | W 77–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Eastern Washington Eagles | W 81–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Montana State Bobcats | W 78–74 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Vandals at Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 63–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners at Idaho Vandals | 52–43 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Idaho Vandals: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Roadrunners2-0 1st · W2
- Roadrunners rating1376 338th of 365, 1 games
- Vandals2-1 2nd · W1
- Vandals rating1502 169th of 365, 1 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W2
No stances yet today on $CSUBMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Idaho Vandals 2-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $IDHOMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Idaho Vandals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners at Idaho Vandals
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Idaho 81% to win. Projected score Idaho 79, Cal State Bakersfield 68; spread Idaho −10.5, total 147.5. Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners at Idaho Vandals, Fri, Nov 20, 9:00 PM ET.