UT Martin Skyhawks vs Southern Illinois Salukis prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
UT Martin at Southern Illinois: Bandwagon's model makes Southern Illinois a 58% favorite (Southern Illinois −5).
UT Martin Skyhawks vs Southern Illinois Salukis odds and win probability
Axle gives Southern Illinois a 58% chance to win, by about 5 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Southern Illinois
All WCBB ratings| UTM | SIU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1385 282nd of 357 | 1353 311th of 357 |
| Record | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | SIU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:08 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:48 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:23 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:03 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 58% | +5 |
| Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:48 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:47 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:34 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:25 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:19 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:59 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:55 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:34 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:19 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:59 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 1:10 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 53% | — |
UT Martin Skyhawks vs Southern Illinois Salukis prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Salukis a 5-point favorite at home, with a 58% chance to win. The model total is 136.5. Ratings: Salukis 1353 (311th of 357), Skyhawks 1385 (282nd). The Salukis are 0-2; the Skyhawks are 2-1. The Salukis have won 1 of their last 5; the Skyhawks 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Mississippi State Bulldogs | L 68–114 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels | W 90–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars | L 49–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tennessee State Lady Tigers | L 60–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | L 68–80 | – | – | matchup |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Indiana Hoosiers | L 55–96 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Indiana State Sycamores | L 69–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Evansville Purple Aces | W 75–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Belmont Bruins | L 64–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Drake Bulldogs | L 68–83 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
UT Martin Skyhawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Southern Illinois Salukis: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Skyhawks2-1 2nd · L1
- Skyhawks rating1385 282nd of 357, 2 games
- Salukis0-2 10th · L2
- Salukis rating1353 311th of 357, 1 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $UTMWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UT Martin Skyhawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $SIUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Southern Illinois Salukis bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on UT Martin Skyhawks at Southern Illinois Salukis
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Southern Illinois 58% to win. Projected score Southern Illinois 71, UT Martin 66; spread Southern Illinois −5, total 136.5. UT Martin Skyhawks at Southern Illinois Salukis, Fri, Nov 20, 7:00 PM ET.