Texas State Bobcats vs Lamar Cardinals prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Texas State at Lamar: Bandwagon's model makes Lamar a 67% favorite (Lamar −7.5).
Texas State Bobcats vs Lamar Cardinals odds and win probability
Axle gives Lamar a 67% chance to win, by about 8 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Lamar
All WCBB ratings| TXST | LAM | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1471 196th of 357 | 1501 168th of 357 |
| Record | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | LAM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:13 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 67% | −2 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 6:03 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:48 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:03 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:53 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:43 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:00 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:34 PM ET | 69% | −6 |
| Nov 7, 5:09 PM ET | 75% | +1 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:04 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 74% | — |
Texas State Bobcats vs Lamar Cardinals prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cardinals a 7.5-point favorite at home, with a 67% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Cardinals 1501 (168th of 357), Bobcats 1471 (196th). The Cardinals are 1-2; the Bobcats are 2-0. The Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5; the Bobcats 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Texas State Bobcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Chicago State Cougars | W 106–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Long Island University Sharks | W 69–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Alabama Jaguars | L 59–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas State Red Wolves | L 53–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UL Monroe Warhawks | L 74–83 | – | – | matchup |
Lamar Cardinals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Texas Tech Lady Raiders | L 28–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UT Arlington Mavericks | L 64–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Portland Pilots | L 68–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | L 59–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs SE Louisiana Lady Lions | W 70–52 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Texas State Bobcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Lamar Cardinals: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bobcats2-0 3rd · W2
- Bobcats rating1471 196th of 357, 2 games
- Cardinals1-2 9th · L2
- Cardinals rating1501 168th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $TXSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas State Bobcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Lamar Cardinals 1-2
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $LAMWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Lamar Cardinals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Texas State Bobcats at Lamar Cardinals
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Lamar 67% to win. Projected score Lamar 69, Texas State 61; spread Lamar −7.5, total 130.5. Texas State Bobcats at Lamar Cardinals, Fri, Nov 20, 7:30 PM ET.