St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Chattanooga Mocs prediction, odds and picks, November 23, 2026
St. Bonaventure at Chattanooga: Bandwagon's model makes Chattanooga a 60% favorite (Chattanooga −5.5).
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Chattanooga Mocs odds and win probability
Axle gives Chattanooga a 60% chance to win, by about 5 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Chattanooga
All WCBB ratings| SBU | UTC | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1444 235th of 357 | 1492 177th of 357 |
| Record | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UTC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 8:18 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:18 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 60% | — |
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Chattanooga Mocs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Mocs a 5.5-point favorite, with a 60% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Mocs 1492 (177th of 357), Bonnies 1444 (235th). The Mocs are 1-2; the Bonnies are 1-0. The Mocs have won 1 of their last 5; the Bonnies 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | L 50–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Drexel Dragons | W 69–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Loyola Chicago Ramblers | L 59–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fordham Rams | W 77–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at George Washington Revolutionaries | L 47–61 | – | – | matchup |
Chattanooga Mocs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Florida Gators | L 58–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | L 50–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Dakota State Bison | L 62–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Samford Bulldogs | L 67–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Furman Paladins | W 76–65 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
St. Bonaventure Bonnies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Chattanooga Mocs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bonnies1-0 3rd · W1
- Bonnies rating1444 235th of 357, 0 games
- Mocs1-2 8th · L2
- Mocs rating1492 177th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $SBUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Chattanooga Mocs 1-2
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $UTCWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chattanooga Mocs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Chattanooga Mocs
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Chattanooga 60% to win. Projected score Chattanooga 68, St. Bonaventure 63; spread Chattanooga −5.5, total 130.5. St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Chattanooga Mocs, Mon, Nov 23, 12:00 PM ET.