Sam Houston Bearkats vs UL Monroe Warhawks prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026
Sam Houston at UL Monroe: Bandwagon's model makes UL Monroe a 63% favorite (UL Monroe −6.5).
Sam Houston Bearkats vs UL Monroe Warhawks odds and win probability
Axle gives UL Monroe a 63% chance to win, by about 6 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has UL Monroe
All WCBB ratings| SHSU | ULM | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1470 197th of 357 | 1469 198th of 357 |
| Record | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | ULM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 6:48 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 63% | −4 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:53 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:43 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:28 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:24 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:59 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:34 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:05 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:34 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:59 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 1:10 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:52 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:12 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:52 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:07 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 7:52 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 1:53 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 67% | — |
Sam Houston Bearkats vs UL Monroe Warhawks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Warhawks a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 63% chance to win. The model total is 128. Ratings: Warhawks 1469 (198th of 357), Bearkats 1470 (197th). The Warhawks are 1-2; the Bearkats are 2-1. The Warhawks have won 2 of their last 5; the Bearkats 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Warhawks won 0, the Bearkats 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Houston Cougars | L 50–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Portland Pilots | L 59–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Liberty Flames | L 57–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Mexico State Aggies | W 71–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UTEP Miners | W 71–59 | – | – | matchup |
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | L 49–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ohio Bobcats | L 46–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas State Red Wolves | L 68–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Old Dominion Monarchs | W 68–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Southern Miss Lady Eagles | W 89–72 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UL Monroe Warhawks at Sam Houston Bearkats | 34–57 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Sam Houston Bearkats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UL Monroe Warhawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bearkats2-1 7th · W1
- Bearkats rating1470 197th of 357, 1 games
- Warhawks1-2 12th · L1
- Warhawks rating1469 198th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $SHSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Sam Houston Bearkats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $ULMWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UL Monroe Warhawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Sam Houston Bearkats at UL Monroe Warhawks
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: UL Monroe 63% to win. Projected score UL Monroe 67, Sam Houston 61; spread UL Monroe −6.5, total 128. Sam Houston Bearkats at UL Monroe Warhawks, Thu, Nov 19, 7:30 PM ET.