Michigan Wolverines vs Miami Hurricanes prediction, odds and picks, November 23, 2026
Michigan at Miami: Bandwagon's model makes Michigan a 76% favorite (Michigan −5.5).
Michigan Wolverines vs Miami Hurricanes odds and win probability
Axle gives Michigan a 76% chance to win, by about 5 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Hop on a side before tip-off
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has Michigan
All WCBB ratings| MICH | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1761 7th of 357 | 1595 80th of 357 |
| Record | 2-0 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W2 | W3 |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | MIA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 6:48 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 24% | — |
Michigan Wolverines vs Miami Hurricanes prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wolverines a 5.5-point favorite, with a 76% chance to win. The model total is 133. Ratings: Hurricanes 1595 (80th of 357), Wolverines 1761 (7th). The Hurricanes are 3-0; the Wolverines are 2-0. The Hurricanes have won 4 of their last 5; the Wolverines 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Hurricanes won 0, the Wolverines 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Michigan Wolverines
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Wright State Raiders | W 109–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UConn Huskies | W 77–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Longhorns | L 41–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Louisville Cardinals | W 71–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs NC State Wolfpack | W 92–63 | – | – | matchup |
Miami Hurricanes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Stetson Hatters | W 79–39 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Jacksonville Dolphins | W 79–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida Atlantic Owls | W 75–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wisconsin Badgers | L 65–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Southern Eagles | W 82–56 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines at Miami Hurricanes | 76–64 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Michigan Wolverines: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Miami Hurricanes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Wolverines2-0 10th · W2
- Wolverines rating1761 7th of 357, 2 games
- Hurricanes3-0 5th · W3
- Hurricanes rating1595 80th of 357, 3 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $MICHWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Michigan Wolverines bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Miami Hurricanes 3-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $MIAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Miami Hurricanes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Michigan Wolverines at Miami Hurricanes
Sign in to post a take on $MICHWBBMIAWBB261123: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Michigan 76% to win. Projected score Michigan 69, Miami 64; spread Michigan −5.5, total 133. Michigan Wolverines at Miami Hurricanes, Mon, Nov 23, 4:00 PM ET.