Long Beach State Beach vs San José State Spartans prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
Long Beach State at San José State: Bandwagon's model makes San José State a 57% favorite (San José State −4.5).
Long Beach State Beach vs San José State Spartans odds and win probability
Axle gives San José State a 57% chance to win, by about 5 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has San José State
All WCBB ratings| LBSU | SJSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1322 334th of 357 | 1298 347th of 357 |
| Record | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | SJSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 57% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:08 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 58% | +2 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:08 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:03 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:43 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:23 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:53 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:28 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 56% | — |
Long Beach State Beach vs San José State Spartans prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Spartans a 4.5-point favorite at home, with a 57% chance to win. The model total is 134.5. Ratings: Spartans 1298 (347th of 357), Beach 1322 (334th). The Spartans are 0-2; the Beach are 0-2. The Spartans have won 0 of their last 5; the Beach 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Long Beach State Beach
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Santa Clara Broncos | L 70–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at California Golden Bears | L 46–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | L 39–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UC Davis Aggies | L 56–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | W 72–62 | – | – | matchup |
San José State Spartans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Oklahoma Sooners | L 44–98 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nebraska Cornhuskers | L 54–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boise State Broncos | L 51–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Colorado State Rams | L 44–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Grand Canyon Lopes | L 52–65 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Long Beach State Beach: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
San José State Spartans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Beach0-2 12th · L2
- Beach rating1322 334th of 357, 2 games
- Spartans0-2 10th · L2
- Spartans rating1298 347th of 357, 1 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $LBSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Long Beach State Beach bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $SJSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San José State Spartans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Long Beach State Beach at San José State Spartans
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: San José State 57% to win. Projected score San José State 70, Long Beach State 65; spread San José State −4.5, total 134.5. Long Beach State Beach at San José State Spartans, Sat, Nov 21, 2:00 PM ET.