Holy Cross Crusaders vs Richmond Spiders prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
Holy Cross at Richmond: Bandwagon's model makes Richmond a 75% favorite (Richmond −10).
Holy Cross Crusaders vs Richmond Spiders odds and win probability
Axle gives Richmond a 75% chance to win, by about 10 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Richmond
All WCBB ratings| HC | RICH | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1557 118th of 357 | 1636 56th of 357 |
| Record | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | RICH win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:18 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:08 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:58 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:53 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 75% | +4 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 71% | — |
Holy Cross Crusaders vs Richmond Spiders prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Spiders a 10-point favorite at home, with a 75% chance to win. The model total is 127. Ratings: Spiders 1636 (56th of 357), Crusaders 1557 (118th). The Spiders are 1-2; the Crusaders are 2-1. The Spiders have won 1 of their last 5; the Crusaders 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Holy Cross Crusaders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Harvard Crimson | L 42–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Dartmouth Big Green | W 49–46 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boston College Eagles | W 64–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Michigan Wolverines | L 48–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks | W 77–70 | – | – | matchup |
Richmond Spiders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Rice Owls | L 60–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Princeton Tigers | L 57–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Charlotte 49ers | W 83–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nebraska Cornhuskers | L 56–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at George Mason Patriots | L 45–60 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Holy Cross Crusaders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Richmond Spiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Crusaders2-1 3rd · L1
- Crusaders rating1557 118th of 357, 3 games
- Spiders1-2 14th · L2
- Spiders rating1636 56th of 357, 3 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $HCWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Holy Cross Crusaders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Richmond Spiders 1-2
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 14th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $RICHWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Richmond Spiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Holy Cross Crusaders at Richmond Spiders
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Richmond 75% to win. Projected score Richmond 69, Holy Cross 58; spread Richmond −10, total 127. Holy Cross Crusaders at Richmond Spiders, Sun, Nov 22, 2:00 PM ET.