California Baptist Lancers vs UC Davis Aggies prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
California Baptist at UC Davis: Bandwagon's model makes California Baptist a 53% favorite (UC Davis −1.5).
California Baptist Lancers vs UC Davis Aggies odds and win probability
Axle gives California Baptist a 53% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has California Baptist
All WCBB ratings| CBU | UCD | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1604 79th of 357 | 1521 149th of 357 |
| Record | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UCD win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:58 PM ET | 47% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 5:43 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:48 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:23 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:53 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:18 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 1:53 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:00 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:49 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:34 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:55 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:19 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:10 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:59 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:59 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:04 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 48% | — |
California Baptist Lancers vs UC Davis Aggies prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lancers the favorite, with a 53% chance to win; its spread is Aggies −1.5. The model total is 134.5. Ratings: Aggies 1521 (149th of 357), Lancers 1604 (79th). The Aggies are 1-2; the Lancers are 2-0. The Aggies have won 1 of their last 5; the Lancers 4 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
California Baptist Lancers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Utah Tech Trailblazers | W 87–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oregon State Beavers | W 79–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 43–96 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Abilene Christian Wildcats | W 74–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tarleton State Texans | W 77–60 | – | – | matchup |
UC Davis Aggies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Stanford Cardinal | L 60–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Eastern Washington Eagles | L 72–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Pepperdine Waves | L 68–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UC San Diego Tritons | L 79–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UC Riverside Highlanders | W 70–59 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
California Baptist Lancers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UC Davis Aggies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lancers2-0 3rd · W2
- Lancers rating1604 79th of 357, 2 games
- Aggies1-2 6th · L2
- Aggies rating1521 149th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $CBUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the California Baptist Lancers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
UC Davis Aggies 1-2
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $UCDWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UC Davis Aggies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on California Baptist Lancers at UC Davis Aggies
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.