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bandwagon.Newsletter
Axle 2.076% straight up1147 games
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Pauley Pavilion · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Cal Poly Mustangs vs UCLA Bruins prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026

Cal Poly at UCLA: Bandwagon's model makes UCLA a 99% favorite (UCLA −35.5).

Cal Poly Mustangs vs UCLA Bruins odds and win probability

CP · AWAYCal Poly2-1 · won 1 of last 5
Tip-offPauley Pavilion
UCLA · HOMEUCLA2-0 · won 5 of last 5

Axle gives UCLA a 99% chance to win, by about 36 points.

Cal Poly 1%UCLA 99%
Projected score46–82Cal Poly–UCLA
Model spreadUCLA −35.5CP +35.5
Model total128.5points
Model moneyline+11721 / −11721CP / UCLA

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got · no picks yet

Hop on a side before tip-off

Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.

Why Axle has UCLA

All WCBB ratings
CP and UCLA side by side
CPUCLA
Rating1324 333rd of 3571893 1st of 357
Record2-12-0
Last 5 games1-45-0
StreakL1W2
Home fieldNoYes
Meetings won03

Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.

How Axle's line has moved

Line movementUCLA win chance, 136 stored lines
No move
100%94%
Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 6, 1:58 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 6, 3:09 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 6, 7:47 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 6, 8:07 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 6, 8:52 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 6, 9:07 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 6, 10:02 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 6, 10:40 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 6, 11:19 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 7, 1:10 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 7, 2:25 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 7, 5:05 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 7, 7:25 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 7, 11:00 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 8, 1:58 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 8, 3:08 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 8, 3:23 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 8, 3:48 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 8, 5:43 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 8, 6:23 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 8, 7:28 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 9, 2:02 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 9, 11:13 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 10, 1:47 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 10, 8:38 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET: UCLA 99%Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET: UCLA 99%
Nov 6Nov 8Now
Every stored line
StoredUCLA winMove
Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET99%0
Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET99%0
Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET99%0
Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET99%0
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Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET99%—

Cal Poly Mustangs vs UCLA Bruins prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Bruins a 35.5-point favorite at home, with a 99% chance to win. The model total is 128.5. Ratings: Bruins 1893 (1st of 357), Mustangs 1324 (333rd). The Bruins are 2-0; the Mustangs are 2-1. The Bruins have won 5 of their last 5; the Mustangs 1 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bruins won 3, the Mustangs 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Form, head-to-head and injuries

Recent form

Cal Poly Mustangs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Idaho State BengalsL 51–64––matchup
at Cal State Bakersfield RoadrunnersW 66–54––matchup
vs UC Irvine AnteatersL 65–85––matchup
vs UC San Diego TritonsL 61–85––matchup
at Long Beach State BeachL 57–67––matchup

UCLA Bruins

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs UC Irvine AnteatersW 78–42––matchup
vs Lehigh Mountain HawksW 73–53––matchup
vs South Carolina GamecocksW 79–51––matchup
vs Texas LonghornsW 51–44––matchup
vs Duke Blue DevilsW 70–58––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Cal Poly Mustangs at UCLA Bruins28–115––matchup
Cal Poly Mustangs at UCLA Bruins37–69––matchup
Cal Poly Mustangs at UCLA Bruins48–84––matchup

Injuries

Cal Poly Mustangs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

UCLA Bruins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Mustangs2-1 5th · L1
  • Mustangs rating1324 333rd of 357, 1 games
  • Bruins2-0 12th · W2
  • Bruins rating1893 1st of 357, 2 games

More WCBB games in the next 7 days

The bandwagon on each team

Cal Poly Mustangs 2-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CPWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CPWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CPWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CPWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Cal Poly Mustangs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Mustangs roster, schedule and more

UCLA Bruins 2-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak W2

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UCLAWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UCLAWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UCLAWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UCLAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UCLA Bruins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bruins roster, schedule and more

Takes on Cal Poly Mustangs at UCLA Bruins

Sign in to post a take on $CPWBBUCLAWBB261120: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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How Axle makes this line

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.