Abilene Christian Wildcats vs Samford Bulldogs prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
Abilene Christian at Samford: Bandwagon's model makes Abilene Christian a 61% favorite (Abilene Christian −0.5).
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs Samford Bulldogs odds and win probability
Axle gives Abilene Christian a 61% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Abilene Christian
All WCBB ratings| ACU | SAM | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1583 94th of 357 | 1461 214th of 357 |
| Record | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | SAM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 6:03 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 2:02 PM ET | 39% | +1 |
| Nov 9, 1:58 PM ET | 38% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 38% | — |
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs Samford Bulldogs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wildcats a 0.5-point favorite, with a 61% chance to win. The model total is 129. Ratings: Bulldogs 1461 (214th of 357), Wildcats 1583 (94th). The Bulldogs are 2-1; the Wildcats are 2-0. The Bulldogs have won 3 of their last 5; the Wildcats 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Houston Christian Huskies | W 84–43 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Illinois State Redbirds | L 55–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida International Panthers | W 77–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at California Baptist Lancers | L 58–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UT Arlington Mavericks | W 70–50 | – | – | matchup |
Samford Bulldogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs | W 50–40 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | L 58–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Southern Jaguars | L 53–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chattanooga Mocs | W 72–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at East Tennessee State Buccaneers | W 57–48 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Abilene Christian Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Samford Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Wildcats2-0 1st · W2
- Wildcats rating1583 94th of 357, 1 games
- Bulldogs2-1 5th · W1
- Bulldogs rating1461 214th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W2
No stances yet today on $ACUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Abilene Christian Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Samford Bulldogs 2-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $SAMWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Samford Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Abilene Christian Wildcats at Samford Bulldogs
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Abilene Christian 61% to win. Projected score Abilene Christian 65, Samford 64; spread Abilene Christian −0.5, total 129. Abilene Christian Wildcats at Samford Bulldogs, Sun, Nov 22, 2:00 PM ET.