National Women's Soccer League odds Friday, November 6
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's National Women's Soccer League predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
National Women's Soccer League odds Friday, November 6
1 game| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / draw / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Royals at San Diego Wave FC | San Diego Wave FC 57%draw 21% | San Diego Wave FC −1 | 2.5 | +339 / +384 / −130 | no move | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In National Women's Soccer League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 1 of 1
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 1 of 1
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule in the data but not used for 1
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form in the data but not used for 1
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 1 (No injury list read before this game)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 1
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:36 PM UTC - Weather in the data but not used for 1
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · newest read Nov 4, 8:35 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
National Women's Soccer League team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC | 1608 | 30 |
| 2 | Kansas City Current | 1596 | 30 |
| 3 | Angel City FC | 1578 | 30 |
| 4 | San Diego Wave FC | 1568 | 30 |
| 5 | Washington Spirit | 1559 | 30 |
| 6 | Portland Thorns FC | 1529 | 30 |
| 7 | Seattle Reign FC | 1513 | 30 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage | 1503 | 30 |
| 9 | Denver Summit FC | 1492 | 30 |
| 10 | Utah Royals | 1479 | 30 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride | 1454 | 30 |
| 12 | Boston Legacy FC | 1441 | 30 |
Top 12 of 16; every team's rating is on its page.
National Women's Soccer League model record
Over 755 National Women's Soccer League games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 50% of the time, Brier score 0.2422, mean spread error 1.273 points, mean total error 1.325. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for National Women's Soccer League games Friday, November 6: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.