Seattle Reign FC beat Orlando Pride 1-0 and the match is final. The model had Seattle at 49 percent, and no crowd picks were recorded, so there is no crowd read to set against it.
NWSL · · Lumen Field · every National Women's Soccer League line
Orlando Pride vs Seattle Reign FC: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreOrlando Pride 0, Seattle Reign FC 1 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerSeattle Reign FC 49%
- Pregame Projected scoreSeattle Reign FC 1.8, Orlando Pride 1.3
- Model spreadSeattle Reign FC −0.5 total 3
- Margin1 projected 0.5
- Total1 projected 3
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Orlando Pride or Seattle Reign FC: the bandwagon
Bandwagon
Be the first on the bandwagon
Axle 28–49Market –
FinalPregame: SEA 61%Baseline: SEA 67.2% (+6.6)Big swing: 35.9 ptsClutch window: 45:00
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORL | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SEA | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
ORL 55.9%SEA 44.1%
Orlando Pride at Seattle Reign FC win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to SEA+3.7 points for SEA over the last 10:00
Big swing35.9 ptstoward SEA at 69:00 of game time
Clutch window45:00within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineSEA 67.2%game average, +6.6 points from the pregame 60.6%
Orlando Pride vs Seattle Reign FC live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | ORL | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | ORL55.9% | SEA44.1% |
| Shots | ORL8 | SEA18 |
| Shots on target | ORL0 | SEA5 |
| Corners | ORL6 | SEA9 |
| Passes completed | ORL377/474 | SEA275/358 |
| Saves | ORL3 | SEA0 |
| Fouls | ORL11 | SEA8 |
| Offsides | ORL0 | SEA1 |
| Yellow cards | ORL0 | SEA0 |
| Red cards | ORL0 | SEA0 |
Orlando Pride vs Seattle Reign FC team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | ORL | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ORL0 | SEA1 |
| Average win probability | ORL33% | SEA67% |
| Longest scoring run | ORL+0 | SEA+1 |
| Time leading | ORL0:00 | SEA21:00 |
Orlando Pride vs Seattle Reign FC odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET
Orlando Pride28%
Win chanceSeattle Reign FC49%
SpreadSEA −0.5closing model spread
Total3
Moneyline+255away / +345draw / +103homeaway / draw / home
Line movementSEA win chance, 7 stored lines
+9 pts for SEA between Oct 29 and Nov 1
57%34%
Oct 29Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | SEA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:28 PM ET | 49% | −2 |
| Oct 29, 7:59 AM ET | 51% | +11 |
| Oct 29, 6:02 AM ET | 40% | — |
- Ratings
- SEA 1506 · ORL 1461
- Home spread
- −0.5
- Stored
- Nov 1, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-01 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Orlando Pride 0, Seattle Reign FC 1. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Women's Soccer League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:36 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 1, 2:58 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Orlando PrideSeattle Reign FC
Neutrals only–
Orlando PrideSeattle Reign FC
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Seattle Reign FC–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Orlando Pride vs Seattle Reign FC prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Seattle Reign FC a 0.5-point favorite at home, with a 49% chance to win and a 22% chance of a draw. The model total is 3. Ratings: Seattle Reign FC 1513 (7th of 16), Orlando Pride 1454 (11th). The Seattle Reign FC are 14-11-5; the Orlando Pride are 11-16-3. The Seattle Reign FC have won 3 of their last 5; the Orlando Pride 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Seattle Reign FC won 1, the Orlando Pride 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Orlando Pride
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Seattle Reign FC | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Gotham FC | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Houston Dash | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Diego Wave FC | L 1–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Bay FC | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup |
Seattle Reign FC
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Orlando Pride | W 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Royals | T 0–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chicago Stars FC | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Carolina Courage | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston Legacy FC | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Reign FC at Orlando Pride | 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Reign FC at Orlando Pride | 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Reign FC at Orlando Pride | 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Orlando Pride at Seattle Reign FC | 1–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Reign FC at Orlando Pride | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Orlando Pride at Seattle Reign FC | 3–2 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Orlando Pride: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Seattle Reign FC: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Orlando Pride11-16-3 11th
- Orlando Pride rating1454 11th of 16, 30 games
- Seattle Reign FC14-11-5 8th
- Seattle Reign FC rating1513 7th of 16, 30 games
Orlando Pride 11-16-3
National Women's Soccer League · 11th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PRIDE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PRIDE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PRIDE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $PRIDE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Orlando Pride bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Seattle Reign FC 14-11-5
National Women's Soccer League · 8th
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $REIGN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $REIGN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $REIGN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $REIGN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Seattle Reign FC bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Orlando Pride at Seattle Reign FC
Sign in to post a take on $PRIDEREIGN261101: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Orlando Pride 0, Seattle Reign FC 1. Bandwagon's model had the Seattle Reign FC at 49% and projected Seattle Reign FC 1.8, Orlando Pride 1.3; spread Seattle Reign FC −0.5, total 3.