Western Michigan Broncos vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons prediction, odds and picks, November 12, 2026
- Projected winnerPurdue Fort Wayne 70%
- Projected scorePurdue Fort Wayne 75, Western Michigan 68
- Model spreadPurdue Fort Wayne −7 total 143
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Western Michigan Broncos or Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons: the bandwagon
Axle 30–70Market –
Western Michigan Broncos at Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Western Michigan Broncos vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Western Michigan Broncos vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | WMU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WMU– | PFW– |
| Average win probability | WMU– | PFW– |
| Longest scoring run | WMU– | PFW– |
| Time leading | WMU– | PFW– |
Western Michigan Broncos vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons odds
Every stored line
| Stored | PFW win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET | 70% | −1 |
| Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 71% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 70% | −2 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 72% | — |
- Ratings
- PFW 1454 · WMU 1413
- Home spread
- −7
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Western Michigan Broncos vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Mastodons a 7-point favorite at home, with a 70% chance to win. The model total is 143. Ratings: Mastodons 1454 (249th of 361), Broncos 1413 (303rd). The Mastodons are 0-0; the Broncos are 0-0. The Mastodons have won 2 of their last 5; the Broncos 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Mastodons won 0, the Broncos 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Western Michigan Broncos
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Old Dominion Monarchs | L 49–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kent State Golden Flashes | L 78–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ball State Cardinals | L 71–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Miami (OH) RedHawks | L 67–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Bowling Green Falcons | W 88–79 | – | – | matchup |
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Duquesne Dukes | L 71–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Green Bay Phoenix | L 56–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| at IU Indianapolis Jaguars | W 87–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wright State Raiders | L 70–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cleveland State Vikings | W 92–86 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons at Western Michigan Broncos | 71–83 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Western Michigan Broncos: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Broncos0-0 12th · -
- Broncos rating1413 303rd of 361, 1 games
- Mastodons0-0 9th · -
- Mastodons rating1454 249th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 12th · streak -
No stances yet today on $WMUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Western Michigan Broncos bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak -
No stances yet today on $PFWMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Western Michigan Broncos at Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
Sign in to post a take on $WMUMBBPFWMBB261113: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: Purdue Fort Wayne 70% to win. Projected score Purdue Fort Wayne 75, Western Michigan 68; spread Purdue Fort Wayne −7, total 143. Western Michigan Broncos at Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons, Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET.