New Haven Chargers vs Penn State Nittany Lions prediction, odds and picks, November 15, 2026
- Projected winnerPenn State 69%
- Projected scorePenn State 76, New Haven 69
- Model spreadPenn State −6.5 total 145
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
New Haven Chargers or Penn State Nittany Lions: the bandwagon
Axle 31–69Market –
New Haven Chargers at Penn State Nittany Lions win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
New Haven Chargers vs Penn State Nittany Lions live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
New Haven Chargers vs Penn State Nittany Lions team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | NHVN | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NHVN– | PSU– |
| Average win probability | NHVN– | PSU– |
| Longest scoring run | NHVN– | PSU– |
| Time leading | NHVN– | PSU– |
New Haven Chargers vs Penn State Nittany Lions odds
Every stored line
| Stored | PSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 69% | +3 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 66% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 66% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- PSU 1456 · NHVN 1432
- Home spread
- −6.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
New Haven Chargers vs Penn State Nittany Lions prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Nittany Lions a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 69% chance to win. The model total is 145. Ratings: Nittany Lions 1456 (248th of 361), Chargers 1432 (274th). The Nittany Lions are 0-0; the Chargers are 0-0. The Nittany Lions have won 2 of their last 5; the Chargers 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Nittany Lions won 1, the Chargers 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
New Haven Chargers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Syracuse Orange | L 58–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Le Moyne Dolphins | W 66–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wagner Seahawks | L 62–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | W 84–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stonehill Skyhawks | W 64–51 | – | – | matchup |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Canisius Golden Griffins | W 97–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northwestern Wildcats | L 66–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rutgers Scarlet Knights | L 62–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ohio State Buckeyes | L 62–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Iowa Hawkeyes | W 71–69 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State Nittany Lions at New Haven Chargers | 87–43 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
New Haven Chargers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Penn State Nittany Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Chargers0-0 7th · -
- Chargers rating1432 274th of 361, 1 games
- Nittany Lions0-0 12th · -
- Nittany Lions rating1456 248th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak -
No stances yet today on $NHVNMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New Haven Chargers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 12th · streak -
No stances yet today on $PSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Penn State Nittany Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on New Haven Chargers at Penn State Nittany Lions
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Model: Penn State 69% to win. Projected score Penn State 76, New Haven 69; spread Penn State −6.5, total 145. New Haven Chargers at Penn State Nittany Lions, Sun, Nov 15, 4:30 PM ET.