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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Fiserv Forum · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Missouri Tigers vs Marquette Golden Eagles prediction, odds and picks, November 15, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Missouri Tigers or Marquette Golden Eagles: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 49–51Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: MARQ 51%
Record 0-0
––
Game clock
KickoffSunday, November 15 at 2:30 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Missouri Tigers at Marquette Golden Eagles win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Missouri Tigers vs Marquette Golden Eagles live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Missouri Tigers vs Marquette Golden Eagles team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatMIZMARQ
ScoreMIZ–MARQ–
Average win probabilityMIZ–MARQ–
Longest scoring runMIZ–MARQ–
Time leadingMIZ–MARQ–

Missouri Tigers vs Marquette Golden Eagles odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11 h ago
Tigers49%
Win chance
Golden Eagles51%
SpreadMARQ −1.5
Total144.5
Moneyline+104away / −104homeaway / home
Line movementMARQ win chance, 27 stored lines
No move
58%45%
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: MARQ 51%Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET: MARQ 51%Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET: MARQ 51%Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET: MARQ 51%Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET: MARQ 51%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: MARQ 51%Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET: MARQ 51%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: MARQ 51%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: MARQ 51%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: MARQ 51%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: MARQ 53%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: MARQ 53%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: MARQ 53%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: MARQ 53%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: MARQ 53%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: MARQ 53%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: MARQ 53%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: MARQ 53%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: MARQ 53%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: MARQ 53%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: MARQ 53%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: MARQ 53%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: MARQ 51%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: MARQ 51%Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET: MARQ 51%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: MARQ 51%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: MARQ 51%
Nov 2Nov 3Now
Every stored line
StoredMARQ winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET51%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET51%0
Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET51%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET51%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET51%−2
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET53%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET53%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET53%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET53%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET53%+2
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET51%0
Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET51%0
Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET51%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET51%—
Ratings
MARQ 1546 · MIZ 1561
Home spread
−1.5 · neutral site, no home advantage
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

TigersGolden Eagles
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Golden Eagles–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Missouri Tigers vs Marquette Golden Eagles prediction

Bandwagon's model has this one even: 51% for the Golden Eagles. The model total is 144.5. Ratings: Golden Eagles 1546 (95th of 361), Tigers 1561 (76th). The Golden Eagles are 0-0; the Tigers are 0-0. The Golden Eagles have won 3 of their last 5; the Tigers 1 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Missouri Tigers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Cleveland State VikingsW 111–50––matchup
at Miami HurricanesL 66–80––matchup
vs Kentucky WildcatsL 72–78––matchup
vs Arkansas RazorbacksL 84–88––matchup
at Oklahoma SoonersL 64–80––matchup

Marquette Golden Eagles

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Mercyhurst LakersW 78–43––matchup
vs Xavier MusketeersL 87–89––matchup
vs UConn HuskiesW 68–62––matchup
at Providence FriarsW 78–56––matchup
vs DePaul Blue DemonsL 51–62––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Missouri Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Marquette Golden Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Tigers0-0 9th · -
  • Tigers rating1561 76th of 361, 1 games
  • Golden Eagles0-0 5th · -
  • Golden Eagles rating1546 95th of 361, 1 games

Missouri Tigers 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MIZMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MIZMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MIZMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MIZMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Missouri Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Tigers roster, schedule and more

Marquette Golden Eagles 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MARQMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MARQMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MARQMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MARQMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Marquette Golden Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Golden Eagles roster, schedule and more

Takes on Missouri Tigers at Marquette Golden Eagles

Sign in to post a take on $MIZMBBMARQMBB261115: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Model: even. Projected score Marquette 73, Missouri 71; spread Marquette −1.5, total 144.5. Missouri Tigers at Marquette Golden Eagles, Sun, Nov 15, 2:30 PM ET.