Alcorn State Braves vs Maryland Terrapins prediction, odds and picks, November 16, 2026
- Projected winnerMaryland 81%
- Projected scoreMaryland 79, Alcorn State 69
- Model spreadMaryland −11 total 148
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Alcorn State Braves or Maryland Terrapins: the bandwagon
Axle 19–81Market –
Alcorn State Braves at Maryland Terrapins win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Alcorn State Braves vs Maryland Terrapins live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Alcorn State Braves vs Maryland Terrapins team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | ALCN | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ALCN– | MD– |
| Average win probability | ALCN– | MD– |
| Longest scoring run | ALCN– | MD– |
| Time leading | ALCN– | MD– |
Alcorn State Braves vs Maryland Terrapins odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MD win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | — |
- Ratings
- MD 1502 · ALCN 1361
- Home spread
- −11
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Alcorn State Braves vs Maryland Terrapins prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Terrapins a 11-point favorite at home, with a 81% chance to win. The model total is 148. Ratings: Terrapins 1502 (174th of 361), Braves 1361 (346th). The Terrapins are 0-0; the Braves are 0-0. The Terrapins have won 2 of their last 5; the Braves 2 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Terrapins won 3, the Braves 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Alcorn State Braves
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Ole Miss Rebels | L 58–99 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Prairie View A&M Panthers | L 56–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alabama State Hornets | W 77–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | L 48–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | W 67–64 | – | – | matchup |
Maryland Terrapins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Bucknell Bison | W 96–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Iowa Hawkeyes | L 64–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oregon Ducks | W 70–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Illinois Fighting Illini | L 72–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wisconsin Badgers | L 45–78 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorn State Braves at Maryland Terrapins | 64–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| Alcorn State Braves at Maryland Terrapins | 58–96 | – | – | matchup | |
| Alcorn State Braves at Maryland Terrapins | 65–105 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Alcorn State Braves: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Maryland Terrapins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Braves0-0 4th · -
- Braves rating1361 346th of 361, 1 games
- Terrapins0-0 4th · -
- Terrapins rating1502 174th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak -
No stances yet today on $ALCNMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Alcorn State Braves bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak -
No stances yet today on $MDMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Maryland Terrapins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Alcorn State Braves at Maryland Terrapins
Sign in to post a take on $ALCNMBBMDMBB261116: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: Maryland 81% to win. Projected score Maryland 79, Alcorn State 69; spread Maryland −11, total 148. Alcorn State Braves at Maryland Terrapins, Mon, Nov 16, 6:00 PM ET.