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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Colonial Life Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

USC Trojans vs South Carolina Gamecocks prediction, odds and picks, November 15, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

USC Trojans or South Carolina Gamecocks: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 21–79Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: SC 79%
Record 1-0
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Game clock
KickoffSunday, November 15 at 1:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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USC Trojans at South Carolina Gamecocks win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

USC Trojans vs South Carolina Gamecocks live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

USC Trojans vs South Carolina Gamecocks team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatUSCSC
ScoreUSC–SC–
Average win probabilityUSC–SC–
Longest scoring runUSC–SC–
Time leadingUSC–SC–

USC Trojans vs South Carolina Gamecocks odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Trojans21%
Win chance
Gamecocks79%
SpreadSC −12
Total139
Moneyline+378away / −378homeaway / home
Line movementSC win chance, 34 stored lines
−2 pts for SC since Nov 2
87%73%
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: SC 81%Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET: SC 81%Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET: SC 82%Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET: SC 82%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: SC 82%Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET: SC 82%Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET: SC 82%Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET: SC 82%Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: SC 79%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: SC 79%Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: SC 79%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: SC 79%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: SC 79%
Nov 2Nov 3Now
Every stored line
StoredSC winMove
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET79%0
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET79%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET79%0
Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET79%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET79%0
Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET79%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET79%0
Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET79%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET79%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET79%0
Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET79%−3
Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET82%0
Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET82%0
Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET82%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET82%0
Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET82%0
Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET82%+1
Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET81%—
Ratings
SC 1845 · USC 1674
Home spread
−12 · neutral site, no home advantage
Stored
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET · 2026-11-04 19:15 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

TrojansGamecocks
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Gamecocks–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

USC Trojans vs South Carolina Gamecocks prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Gamecocks a 12-point favorite, with a 79% chance to win. The model total is 139. Ratings: Gamecocks 1845 (3rd of 356), Trojans 1674 (26th). The Gamecocks are 1-0; the Trojans are 1-0. The Gamecocks have won 4 of their last 5; the Trojans 2 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Gamecocks won 2, the Trojans 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

USC Trojans

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at UNLV Lady RebelsW 100–68––matchup
at South Carolina GamecocksL 61–101––matchup
at Clemson TigersW 71–67––matchup
at Washington HuskiesL 64–76––matchup
vs UCLA BruinsL 50–73––matchup

South Carolina Gamecocks

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Maryland TerrapinsW 101–93––matchup
at UCLA BruinsL 51–79––matchup
at UConn HuskiesW 62–48––matchup
vs TCU Horned FrogsW 78–52––matchup
vs Oklahoma SoonersW 94–68––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
USC Trojans at South Carolina Gamecocks61–101––matchup
South Carolina Gamecocks at USC Trojans69–52––matchup

Injuries

USC Trojans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

South Carolina Gamecocks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Trojans1-0 3rd · W1
  • Trojans rating1674 26th of 356, 1 games
  • Gamecocks1-0 3rd · W1
  • Gamecocks rating1845 3rd of 356, 1 games

USC Trojans 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $USCWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $USCWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $USCWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $USCWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the USC Trojans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Trojans roster, schedule and more

South Carolina Gamecocks 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SCWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SCWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SCWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SCWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Carolina Gamecocks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Gamecocks roster, schedule and more

Takes on USC Trojans at South Carolina Gamecocks

Sign in to post a take on $USCWBBSCWBB261115: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Model: South Carolina 79% to win. Projected score South Carolina 75, USC 64; spread South Carolina −12, total 139. USC Trojans at South Carolina Gamecocks, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET.