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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Williams Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Southern Jaguars vs Minnesota Golden Gophers prediction, odds and picks, November 10, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Southern Jaguars or Minnesota Golden Gophers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 16–84Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: MINN 84%
Record 0-0
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Game clock
KickoffTuesday, November 10 at 8:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Southern Jaguars at Minnesota Golden Gophers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Southern Jaguars vs Minnesota Golden Gophers live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Southern Jaguars vs Minnesota Golden Gophers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatSOUMINN
ScoreSOU–MINN–
Average win probabilitySOU–MINN–
Longest scoring runSOU–MINN–
Time leadingSOU–MINN–

Southern Jaguars vs Minnesota Golden Gophers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11 h ago
Jaguars16%
Win chance
Golden Gophers84%
SpreadMINN −14
Total130.5
Moneyline+529away / −529homeaway / home
Line movementMINN win chance, 36 stored lines
+21 pts for MINN since Oct 29
91%58%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: MINN 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: MINN 85%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: MINN 85%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: MINN 85%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: MINN 81%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: MINN 81%Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET: MINN 81%Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET: MINN 81%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: MINN 81%Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET: MINN 81%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: MINN 81%Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET: MINN 81%Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET: MINN 81%Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET: MINN 83%Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: MINN 84%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: MINN 84%Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET: MINN 84%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: MINN 84%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: MINN 84%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredMINN winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET84%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET84%0
Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET84%0
Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET84%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET84%0
Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET84%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET84%0
Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET84%0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET84%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET84%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET84%0
Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET84%+1
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET83%+2
Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET81%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET81%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET85%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET85%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET85%+22
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
MINN 1696 · SOU 1536
Home spread
−14
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

JaguarsGolden Gophers
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Golden Gophers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Southern Jaguars vs Minnesota Golden Gophers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Golden Gophers a 14-point favorite at home, with a 84% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Golden Gophers 1696 (18th of 356), Jaguars 1536 (135th). The Golden Gophers are 0-0; the Jaguars are 0-0. The Golden Gophers have won 3 of their last 5; the Jaguars 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Southern Jaguars

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Oklahoma State CowgirlsL 39–81––matchup
at South Carolina GamecocksL 34–103––matchup
vs Samford BulldogsW 65–53––matchup
at Alabama State Lady HornetsW 73–56––matchup
at Alabama A&M BulldogsW 51–49––matchup

Minnesota Golden Gophers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Harvard CrimsonW 82–62––matchup
at UCLA BruinsL 56–80––matchup
vs Ole Miss RebelsW 65–63––matchup
vs Green Bay PhoenixW 75–58––matchup
vs Ohio State BuckeyesL 55–60––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Southern Jaguars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Minnesota Golden Gophers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Jaguars0-0 10th · -
  • Jaguars rating1536 135th of 356, 1 games
  • Golden Gophers0-0 11th · -
  • Golden Gophers rating1696 18th of 356, 1 games

Southern Jaguars 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SOUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SOUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SOUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SOUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Southern Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Jaguars roster, schedule and more

Minnesota Golden Gophers 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 11th · streak -

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MINNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MINNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MINNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MINNWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Minnesota Golden Gophers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Golden Gophers roster, schedule and more

Takes on Southern Jaguars at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Sign in to post a take on $SOUWBBMINNWBB261111: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Model: Minnesota 84% to win. Projected score Minnesota 72, Southern 58; spread Minnesota −14, total 130.5. Southern Jaguars at Minnesota Golden Gophers, Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET.