Oregon State Beavers vs Arizona Wildcats prediction, odds and picks, November 15, 2026
- Projected winnerArizona 54%
- Projected scoreArizona 67, Oregon State 63
- Model spreadArizona −3.5 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Oregon State Beavers or Arizona Wildcats: the bandwagon
Axle 46–54Market –
Oregon State Beavers at Arizona Wildcats win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Oregon State Beavers vs Arizona Wildcats live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Oregon State Beavers vs Arizona Wildcats team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | ORST | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ORST– | ARIZ– |
| Average win probability | ORST– | ARIZ– |
| Longest scoring run | ORST– | ARIZ– |
| Time leading | ORST– | ARIZ– |
Oregon State Beavers vs Arizona Wildcats odds
Every stored line
| Stored | ARIZ win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET | 54% | +5 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 49% | — |
- Ratings
- ARIZ 1517 · ORST 1577
- Home spread
- −3.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Oregon State Beavers vs Arizona Wildcats prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wildcats a 3.5-point favorite at home, with a 54% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Wildcats 1517 (150th of 356), Beavers 1577 (97th). The Wildcats are 1-0; the Beavers are 0-0. The Wildcats have won 1 of their last 5; the Beavers 2 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Wildcats won 1, the Beavers 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Oregon State Beavers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Wisconsin Badgers | L 58–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Gonzaga Bulldogs | L 66–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Loyola Marymount Lions | W 73–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Portland Pilots | W 60–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Loyola Marymount Lions | L 69–71 | – | – | matchup |
Arizona Wildcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona Wildcats | L 69–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona State Sun Devils | L 51–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Utes | L 67–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Cougars | W 75–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Baylor Bears | L 60–74 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats at Oregon State Beavers | 70–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| Arizona Wildcats at Oregon State Beavers | 70–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| Oregon State Beavers at Arizona Wildcats | 69–72 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Oregon State Beavers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Arizona Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Beavers0-0 5th · -
- Beavers rating1577 97th of 356, 0 games
- Wildcats1-0 1st · W1
- Wildcats rating1517 150th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak -
No stances yet today on $ORSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Oregon State Beavers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Arizona Wildcats 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $ARIZWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arizona Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Oregon State Beavers at Arizona Wildcats
Sign in to post a take on $ORSTWBBARIZWBB261116: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: Arizona 54% to win. Projected score Arizona 67, Oregon State 63; spread Arizona −3.5, total 130.5. Oregon State Beavers at Arizona Wildcats, Sun, Nov 15, 9:00 PM ET.