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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Stan Sheriff Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Loyola Marymount Lions vs Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine prediction, odds and picks, November 15, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Loyola Marymount Lions or Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 38–62Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: HAW 62%
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Game clock
KickoffSunday, November 15 at 7:30 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Loyola Marymount Lions at Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Loyola Marymount Lions vs Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Loyola Marymount Lions vs Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatLMUHAW
ScoreLMU–HAW–
Average win probabilityLMU–HAW–
Longest scoring runLMU–HAW–
Time leadingLMU–HAW–

Loyola Marymount Lions vs Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Lions38%
Win chance
Rainbow Wahine62%
SpreadHAW −6
Total133
Moneyline+163away / −163homeaway / home
Line movementHAW win chance, 28 stored lines
−4 pts for HAW since Nov 2
72%56%
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET: HAW 66%Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET: HAW 64%Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET: HAW 64%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: HAW 64%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: HAW 64%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: HAW 64%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: HAW 64%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: HAW 64%Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET: HAW 64%Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET: HAW 64%Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET: HAW 64%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: HAW 64%Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET: HAW 64%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: HAW 62%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: HAW 62%Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET: HAW 62%Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET: HAW 62%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: HAW 62%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: HAW 62%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: HAW 62%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: HAW 62%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: HAW 62%
Nov 2Nov 3Now
Every stored line
StoredHAW winMove
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET62%0
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET62%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET62%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET62%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET62%0
Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET62%0
Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET62%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET62%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET62%−2
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET64%−2
Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET66%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET66%—
Ratings
HAW 1563 · LMU 1565
Home spread
−6
Stored
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET · 2026-11-04 19:15 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

LionsRainbow Wahine
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Rainbow Wahine–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Loyola Marymount Lions vs Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Rainbow Wahine a 6-point favorite at home, with a 62% chance to win. The model total is 133. Ratings: Rainbow Wahine 1563 (109th of 356), Lions 1565 (107th). The Rainbow Wahine are 0-0; the Lions are 0-0. The Rainbow Wahine have won 3 of their last 5; the Lions 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Rainbow Wahine won 1, the Lions 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Loyola Marymount Lions

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Nevada Wolf PackW 89–64––matchup
at Stanford CardinalL 76–80––matchup
vs Oregon State BeaversL 67–73––matchup
at Oregon State BeaversW 71–69––matchup
at San Francisco DonsW 66–57––matchup

Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Oregon DucksL 54–87––matchup
at UC San Diego TritonsL 48–60––matchup
at UC Irvine AnteatersW 67–63––matchup
vs Cal State Fullerton TitansW 72–61––matchup
at Long Beach State BeachW 74–39––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Loyola Marymount Lions at Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine51–55––matchup

Injuries

Loyola Marymount Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Lions0-0 3rd · -
  • Lions rating1565 107th of 356, 1 games
  • Rainbow Wahine0-0 6th · -
  • Rainbow Wahine rating1563 109th of 356, 1 games

Loyola Marymount Lions 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LMUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $LMUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $LMUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $LMUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Loyola Marymount Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Lions roster, schedule and more

Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $HAWWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $HAWWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $HAWWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $HAWWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Rainbow Wahine roster, schedule and more

Takes on Loyola Marymount Lions at Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine

Sign in to post a take on $LMUWBBHAWWBB261116: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Model: Hawai'i 62% to win. Projected score Hawai'i 69, Loyola Marymount 64; spread Hawai'i −6, total 133. Loyola Marymount Lions at Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine, Sun, Nov 15, 7:30 PM ET.