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NCAA Women's Basketball · · McGuirk Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Butler Bulldogs vs Central Michigan Chippewas prediction, odds and picks, November 8, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Butler Bulldogs or Central Michigan Chippewas: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 36–64Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: CMU 64%
Record 1-0
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Game clock
KickoffSunday, November 8 at 1:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Butler Bulldogs at Central Michigan Chippewas win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Butler Bulldogs vs Central Michigan Chippewas live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Butler Bulldogs vs Central Michigan Chippewas team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatBTLRCMU
ScoreBTLR–CMU–
Average win probabilityBTLR–CMU–
Longest scoring runBTLR–CMU–
Time leadingBTLR–CMU–

Butler Bulldogs vs Central Michigan Chippewas odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2:15 PM ET
Bulldogs36%
Win chance
Chippewas64%
SpreadCMU −6.5
Total133.5
Moneyline+178away / −178homeaway / home
Line movementCMU win chance, 28 stored lines
+1 pts for CMU since Oct 29
78%58%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: CMU 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: CMU 72%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: CMU 72%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: CMU 72%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: CMU 70%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: CMU 70%Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET: CMU 66%Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: CMU 64%Nov 3, 8:28 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: CMU 64%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: CMU 64%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: CMU 64%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredCMU winMove
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET64%0
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET64%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET64%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET64%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET64%0
Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET64%0
Nov 3, 8:28 PM ET64%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET64%0
Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET64%0
Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET64%−2
Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET66%−4
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET70%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET70%−2
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET72%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET72%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET72%+9
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
CMU 1515 · BTLR 1505
Home spread
−6.5
Stored
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET · 2026-11-04 19:15 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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BulldogsChippewas
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Chippewas–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Butler Bulldogs vs Central Michigan Chippewas prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Chippewas a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 64% chance to win. The model total is 133.5. Ratings: Chippewas 1515 (156th of 356), Bulldogs 1505 (165th). The Chippewas are 0-1; the Bulldogs are 1-0. The Chippewas have won 2 of their last 5; the Bulldogs 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Chippewas won 1, the Bulldogs 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Butler Bulldogs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Tennessee Tech Golden EaglesW 108–71––matchup
at Georgetown HoyasL 58–62––matchup
vs Seton Hall PiratesW 62–55––matchup
at DePaul Blue DemonsW 71–64––matchup
at Georgetown HoyasW 66–58––matchup

Central Michigan Chippewas

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Old Dominion MonarchsL 58–62––matchup
vs Ohio BobcatsL 88–89––matchup
vs Bowling Green FalconsW 77–65––matchup
at Kent State Golden FlashesL 56–63––matchup
at Toledo RocketsW 68–64––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Central Michigan Chippewas at Butler Bulldogs68–59––matchup

Injuries

Butler Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Central Michigan Chippewas: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bulldogs1-0 1st · W1
  • Bulldogs rating1505 165th of 356, 1 games
  • Chippewas0-1 1st · L1
  • Chippewas rating1515 156th of 356, 1 games

Butler Bulldogs 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BTLRWBB
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No stances yet today on $BTLRWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Butler Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bulldogs roster, schedule and more

Central Michigan Chippewas 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CMUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CMUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CMUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CMUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Central Michigan Chippewas bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Chippewas roster, schedule and more

Takes on Butler Bulldogs at Central Michigan Chippewas

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Model: Central Michigan 64% to win. Projected score Central Michigan 70, Butler 63; spread Central Michigan −6.5, total 133.5. Butler Bulldogs at Central Michigan Chippewas, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET.